The views expresse in thIs RepOrt are thOse Of the autHor an O NOt reflect the OfficiaL view, pOliCy, Or pOŝitiON Of tHe DepàrtmeNt Of defeNŝe Or the UNite Stàteŝ GOverment.
LW utIIM IN tabL cllÈcTIvÈ lÈadhî (
N CeLL A, WHeRe olîcy dIFfeece ae lage but edvedev îs oLItIcaLLy
deeNdeNt on uTIn ûtI îs I cHage ad WIll lîely Iscad o doWngRaDe edveev
When It suIts hIM N Ce Whee THe ÔWeR dIfeRetIal Is also gReat but dIffeRees In
oINîoN ae noT edvedev WîLL coMlIanty do ûtIN s bIddIng " ThIs sceNaîo
edvedev WouLD be HUoRIg cetaIN costtUencîes Wth IsIceRe hetoRc as a toL of
utî WHo sHaes utî's PesecTIves THe hyotHetIca Ce C a LoW PoWeR
dîfeRentîal (that Is edvedev HavIng olîTîcaL esoûces of Hîs oWn) ad a WIde ga In
olIcy ences geRte FRîctîoN a cofLîct WIthî THe taNDeM, WIth the outco
deeNDeNt on the elatIve stength o the aIRs bases f sÛPoRt ad theI sîLL î
MbîLîzg assets And whe the oWe DIffeeNtîa Is. loW bu lIcy dIffeences a
eoGe.esLaue "ectios o atenS of eaesHip i N oviet an oStoviet [uSsian] 7 isoRYPost-SOviet AfFairŝ6 JûLYptÈÈR 2010) 234; QUotAtios A tALÈ foM 2970 "oWe DiffeetiA iN tHis îSAne is DefieD As WHeHe evev i Depenent on utin poLiticALY hiGH DifERENiAL oR Acs A his oWN AN LoW iFfEEntiA
7
sleder as I Cell the resùlT WOuLD be â stable leadrshI duOûNtIL sûch tIme
resLaùeR âdDS "aS accûmùlatIn cOTRaDIctIOS Tem ONe OR bOth LeaDeRs tO try TO Seïze
the ïItIatIve by embracï cyIcally Or NOt, eïtheR a reORmIst Or â RevanchïsT latOrm
resLaùeRs eleat RevIeW O the OsSIbïLïtïes ad O IrcumStâNces thaT mIht aect THe