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Troop Reduction and Austerity Measures to Delay Soldier Modernisation Efforts, Cautions Frost & Sullivan

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Troop Reduction and Austerity Measures to Delay Soldier Modernisation Efforts, Cautions Frost & Sullivan PR Newswire LONDON, June 7, 2012 - Increasing Preference for Incremental and Hybrid Acquisition Models LONDON, June 7, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- Many soldier modernisation programmes have been delayed or reduced in scope due to budgetary pressures and technology issues. Despite such obstacles, there still exists significant growth opportunities, particularly in many untapped European and Asian programmes. The genesis of soldier modernisation programmes began in the early 1990s when military forces sensed the need to reposition their capabilities to counter modern-day threats. Asymmetric and urban warfare were identified as future threats and countries started conceptualising the future soldier in accordance with these trends. However, most countries felt that these planned programmes were too ambitious and difficult to manage. New analysis from Frost & Sullivan (http://www.aerospace.frost.com), Global Soldier Modernisation Market Assessment, finds that the total market revenue is likely to be $12.73 billion across the forecast period 2011-2020. It is estimated that the soldier modernisation market will grow from $420.2 million in 2011 to $1.54 billion in 2020. "Countries are aiming for ultra-professional armed forces and, as a result, troop strength is being reduced in most countries," notes Frost & Sullivan Senior Research Analyst Mahendran Arjunraja.
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Troop Reduction and Austerity Measures to
Delay Soldier Modernisation Efforts, Cautions
Frost & Sullivan
PR Newswire
LONDON, June 7, 2012
- Increasing Preference for Incremental and Hybrid Acquisition Models
LONDON
,
June 7, 2012
/PRNewswire/ -- Many soldier modernisation
programmes have been delayed or reduced in scope due to budgetary
pressures and technology issues. Despite such obstacles, there still exists
significant growth opportunities, particularly in many untapped European and
Asian programmes.
The genesis of soldier modernisation programmes began in the early 1990s
when military forces sensed the need to reposition their capabilities to counter
modern-day threats. Asymmetric and urban warfare were identified as future
threats and countries started conceptualising the future soldier in accordance
with these trends. However, most countries felt that these planned
programmes were too ambitious and difficult to manage.
New analysis from Frost & Sullivan (http://www.aerospace.frost.com),
Global
Soldier Modernisation Market Assessment
, finds that the total market
revenue is likely to be
$12.73 billion
across the forecast period 2011-2020. It is
estimated that the soldier modernisation market will grow from
$420.2 million
in 2011 to
$1.54 billion
in 2020.
"Countries are aiming for ultra-professional armed forces and, as a result,
troop strength is being reduced in most countries," notes Frost & Sullivan Senior
Research Analyst Mahendran Arjunraja. "Decreasing troop numbers will have
an impact on procurement volumes, limiting the opportunity for volume
business."
Decreasing troop size is poised to limit the potential for economies of scale. But
it would open up opportunities for premium solutions.
The recent operations in
Afghanistan
and
Iraq
have influenced soldier
modernisation plans. With operational withdrawal, most countries are expected
to focus on planned procurement programmes.
Market revenues are set to peak in 2015, when the market grows to be worth
$1830.5 million
and such trends are anticipated to sustain till 2017. This is
largely a result of major programmes entering the production phase.
"Upcoming soldier modernisation programmes in
India
,
South Korea
, and
Brazil
are in their initial stages," remarks Arjunraja. "Significant spending is expected
only in the second half of the forecast period."
Frost & Sullivan has identified three different modernisation approaches: total
system (a defined programme where modern equipment is acquired as a single
kit), incremental (soldier modernisation is conducted in phases), and hybrid (a
mix of both total and incremental approaches). The total system approach is
being adopted by a few European countries such as
France
,
Germany
,
Spain
and
Italy
while others have shown a preference for the incremental or hybrid
approach.
"Technology issues such as power and weight continue to be key technical