Natural Hazards, UnNatural Disasters
280 pages
English

Natural Hazards, UnNatural Disasters

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280 pages
English
YouScribe est heureux de vous offrir cette publication

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Earthquakes, droughts, floods, and storms are natural hazards, but unnatural disasters are the deaths and damages that result from human acts of omission and commission. Every disaster is unique, but each exposes actions-by individuals and governments at different levels-that, had they been different, would have resulted in fewer deaths and less damage. Prevention is possible, and this book examines what it takes to do this cost-effectively.
It looks at disasters primarily through an economic lens. Economists emphasize self-interest to explain how people choose the amount of prevention, insurance, and coping. But lenses can distort as well as sharpen images, so the book also draws from other disciplines: psychology to examine how people may misperceive risks, political science to understand voting patterns, and nutrition science to see how stunting in children after a disaster impairs cognitive abilities and productivity as adults much later. Peering into the future, it shows that while urbanization and climate change will increase exposure to hazards, vulnerability can be reduced if cities are better managed.
This book will be of interest to government officials, urban planners, relief agencies, NGOs, donors, and other development practitioners .

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Publié par
Publié le 10 novembre 2010
Nombre de lectures 116
EAN13 9780821380505
Langue English
Poids de l'ouvrage 7 Mo

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THE UNITED NATIONS
Natural
UnNatural
The Economics of
Effective PreventionNatural Hazards,
UnNatural DisastersNatural Hazards,
UnNatural Disasters
The Economics of
Effective Prevention
THE UNITED NATIONS
THE WORLD BANK
Washington, DC© 2010 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development /
The World Bank
1818 H Street NW
Washington DC 20433
Telephone: 202-473-1000
Internet: www.worldbank.org
All rights reserved
1 2 3 4 13 12 11 10

This volume is a product of the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Devel-
opment / The World Bank. The f ndings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this
volume do not necessarily ref ect the views of the Executive Directors of The World Bank or
the governments they represent.
The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The
boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do
not imply any judgement on the part of The World Bank concerning the legal status of any
territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries.
Rights and Permissions
The material in this publication is copyrighted. Copying and/or transmitting portions or all of
this work without permission may be a violation of applicable law. The International Bank for
Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank encourages dissemination of its work and
will normally grant permission to reproduce portions of the work promptly.
For permission to photocopy or reprint any part of this work, please send a request with
complete information to the Copyright Clearance Center Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers,
MA 01923, USA; telephone: 978-750-8400; fax: 978-750-4470; Internet: www.copyright.
com.
All other queries on rights and licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed
to the Off ce of the Publisher, The World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433,
USA; fax: 202-522-2422; e-mail: pubrights@worldbank.org.
ISBN: 978-0-8213-8050-5
eISBN: 978-0-8213-8141-0
DOI: 10.1596/978-0-8213-8050-5
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Natural hazards, unnatural disasters : the economics of effective prevention / The World Bank
and The United Nations.
p. cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN 978-0-8213-8050-5 — ISBN 978-0-8213-8141-0 (electronic)
1. Disasters—Economic aspects. 2. Natural disasters—Economic aspects.
3. Emergency management. I. World Bank. II. United Nations.
HC79.D45N416 2011
363.34’7—dc22
2010031475
Cover art: The cover art is based on a Madhubani painting depicting the destruction
caused by the 2004 tsunami. This piece was created by Amrita Das, a female artist from
Madhubani District, Bihar, India, and is part of a private art collection.
For centuries, women from the Mithila region of Bihar have passed down through genera-
tions the tradition of f oor and wall painting. This art form is linked historically with disas-
ters. It became popular after a severe drought hit the region between 1966 and 1968. The
Indian government, in an attempt to help develop sources of income other than agriculture,
encouraged local women to paint on paper (rather than on f oors and walls) to allow their
artwork to be sold. This art form is now recognized internationally.
Cover design: Serif Design GroupPraise for
Natural Hazards, UnNatural Disasters
The Economics of Effective Prevention
“This report synthesizes our knowledge about the effects of natural hazards on human welfare,
particularly in its economic aspects. It is a remarkable combination of case studies, data on
many scales, and the application of economic principles to the problems posed by earthquakes,
abnormal weather, and the like. It provides a deep understanding of the relative roles of the
market, government intervention, and social institutions in determining and improving both the
prevention and the response to hazardous occurrences.”
—KENNETH J. ARROW, Nobel Prize in Economics, 1972
“This excellent and timely study is a wake-up call to all of us responsible for managing and
mitigating f oods, earthquakes, and other natural hazards.”
—BRUCE BABBIT, Former Secretary of the Interior, USA
“This book on natural hazards and unnatural disasters is very well done on a topic of supreme
and immediate importance. I particularly like the chapters on how quickly countries and regions
do recover from disasters—a topic discussed at least ever since John Stuart Mill—and how
good markets are in responding in terms of land and other values to the prospect of disasters. I
strongly recommend this book to non-economists as well as economists, and to government of-
f cials who must cope with f oods, oil spills, earthquakes, and other disasters.”
—GARY S. BECKER, Nobel Prize in Economics, 1992
“Three keywords come to mind after reading this World Bank report: prevention, strong inter-
national cooperation, and priority on helping human beings affected by disasters with compas-
sion and dignity. With this report the World Bank highlights what international actors, national
governments, local authorities, and individuals should constantly consider when discussing pre-
vention measures. Governments must take the lead in implementing preventive actions both
directly, by allocating eff ciently public resources, and indirectly, by showing people how to
protect themselves. This is the real challenge that not only the World Bank but all of us have to
face. This is the dream that we have and it can become true if we are ready to pay the (political)
price to achieve it. This ideal mirrors the belief and the actions undertaken by the Italian Civil
Protection.”
—GUIDO BERTOLASO, Head of the Italian Civil Protection
“How is it that some communities are able to soften the blows they face when rare natural events
hit them, whereas others experience huge suffering? Natural Hazards, UnNatural Disasters con-
tains the tightest analytical and empirical investigation into the question. It’s a terrif c book.”
—SIR PARTHA DASGUPTA, Frank Ramsey Professor of Economics,
University of Cambridge“It is a sad commentary on how aid is media-driven that off cial aid agencies and NGOs will
make a huge effort for disaster relief and virtually no effort for prevention. This report coura-
geously makes the case for redressing the balance. It dramatizes as never before that “natural
disasters” are not so natural—prevention failures cost myriad lives, usually among the poorest.
It issues a challenge: reverse the shameful neglect of prevention so as to save those lives.”
—WILLIAM EASTERLY, author of The White Man’s Burden (2006)
“It is the moral and ethical duty of all humanitarian and development workers to ensure that
every dollar is well spent. Thus this study is an essential primer for all policy makers and prac-
titioners concerned with disaster risk reduction and recovery—even more so in this age of fru-
gal necessity. In building community safety and resilience, sensible spending, greater transpar-
ency, and accountability are essential to do more, do better, and reach further in tackling the
most signif cant vulnerabilities that confront humanity. This report highlights the need for in-
creased resources and innovative partnerships, in line with the Red Cross and Red Crescent
experience, which shows that it really pays to invest in disaster prevention.”
—BEKELE GELETA, Secretary General of the International Federation of Red Cross
and Red Crescent Societies

“This book is a must-read for policy makers and concerned individuals all over the world. For
too long, leaders have done too little to prevent the transformation of natural hazards into
(un)natural disasters, and then moved too slowly once they occur. And now the risks are grow-
ing with rapid urbanization and climate change. This book organizes vast amounts of material
into compelling analyses and clear messages, and the authors put forward pragmatic policy
suggestions that blend market incentives with ‘smart’ regulation and sound governance princi-
ples. They need to be taken seriously.”
—SRI MULYANI INDRAWATI, Managing Director, World Bank;
Former Minister of Finance, Indonesia

“Warning people of impending hazards saves lives and livelihoods. But we can still do better as
shown in this excellent report! With clear arguments, statements, and evidence, it is a convinc-
ing call for governments the world over to improve the detection and forecasting of hazards
risks, and to develop better warnings for sectoral planning to reduce human and economic
losses that are setting back socio-economic development. Improvement of early warning sys-
tems is clearly an investment in sustainable development, as demonstrated in many countries
where benef ts exceed costs many times over.”
—MICHEL JARRAUD, Secretary General of the World Meteorological Organization

“When a natural hazard strikes innocent victims, people from around the world pitch in to
help. It is incumbent on policy makers to make sure that this generosity is well-used. This report
is one of the f rst to treat hazards from an economic perspective of value-for-money. That lens—
dismal at it may seem—provides crucial insights on why we should spend mo

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