Secteur privé français : une croissance retrouvée grâce au secteur des services

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• Publié par: Fil_Economie
• Publié le: 20 février 2015
• Nombre de lectures: 0
• Langue: English

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News Release
®Purchasing Managers’ Index
MARKET SENSITIVE INFORMATION
EMBARGOED UNTIL: 0800 (UK Time) 20 February 2015
®Markit Flash France PMI
French private sector output rises at fastest rate for three-and-a-half years

Key points: further, with the latest drop the most marked in 20
months. Panellists commented on weak demand (1)
 Flash France Composite Output Index rises to
conditions and strong competitive pressures as
52.2 (49.3 in January), 42-month high
factors weighing on new business in the latest
(2)
 Flash France Services Activity Index climbs to survey period.
53.4 (49.4 in January), 42-month high
Employment in the French private sector was
(3)
 Flash France Manufacturing Output Index broadly stable in February, ending a 15-month
period of contraction. Marginal growth of staffing falls to 47.0 (49.1 in January), 2-month low
levels was recorded at service providers, offsetting (4)
 Flash France Manufacturing PMI drops to
continued job shedding in the manufacturing sector.
47.7 (49.2 in January), 2-month low
Backlogs of work at French private sector
companies rose for a third successive month in Data collected 12-19 February
February. The rate of growth in outstanding
business was solid and the sharpest for three-and- Summary:
a-half years. Again, contrasting trends were seen at ®
The latest flash France PMI data pointed to a rise the sector level, with service providers noting
in private sector output during February. The accumulation of unfinished work but manufacturers
seasonally adjusted Markit Flash France signalling an accelerated fall.
Composite Output Index, based on around 85%
Input costs in the French private sector remained of normal monthly survey replies, posted above the
broadly static in February. Lower prices for oil and crucial 50.0 threshold that separates expansion
other raw materials contributed to a marked drop in from contraction for the first time in ten months.
manufacturers’ input prices, whereas service Moreover, at 52.2, up from 49.3 in January, the
providers reported a modest rise in costs. latest index reading signalled the sharpest rate of
growth in three-and-a-half years. Prices charged by private sector companies in
France continued to decline at a sharp rate in Contrasting trends were recorded at the sector
February. The drop in selling prices was the fastest level. Service providers reported an increase in
since October 2009 and broad-based across the activity for the second time in the past three
services and manufacturing sectors, with the former months. The rate of growth was solid and the
posting the stronger decline. Strong competitive fastest since August 2011. Manufacturers,
pressures were widely cited as a factor bearing on however, signalled a further drop in output, with the
firms’ pricing power. pace of decline quickening since January.
Business expectations in the French service New business in the French private sector rose for
sector remained positive in February. The degree of the third month running in February. The rate of
confidence expressed by firms was the strongest in expansion in new work was the sharpest in
three35 months, although remained weaker than the and-a-half years, albeit moderate overall. Growth
survey’s long-run average. The expected fruition of was centred on the service sector, where it picked
company investments and business development up to the strongest in 42 months. In contrast,
strategies are hoped to support growth of activity manufacturers reported the fastest decline in new
over the coming year. orders since last August. New export orders fell
In conjunction with

Page 1 of 3 © Markit Economics Limited 2015

Comment: services and manufacturing sectors diverged. While
service providers were buoyed by solid growth of
Jack Kennedy, Senior Economist at Markit,
activity and new business, helped in part by marked ®which compiles the Flash France PMI survey, said:
output price cutting, manufacturers saw accelerated
“February’s flash PMI data provided better news on declines amid flagging demand. The risk of
deflation in France becoming entrenched was the health of France’s private sector economy,
highlighted by the overall output prices index suggesting that the first quarter could see an
improvement in GDP growth following the anaemic slipping to its lowest level since October 2009 in the
0.1% rise in Q4. However, the performances of the latest survey period.”


Economic output


Employment

Sources: Markit, INSEE via EcoWin.


For further information, please contact:
Markit
Jack Kennedy, Senior Economist Joanna Vickers, Corporate Communications
Telephone [phone] Telephone [phone]
Email [e-mail] Email [e-mail]
In conjunction with

Page 2 of 3 © Markit Economics Limited 2015

Note to Editors:
Final February data are published on 2 March for manufacturing and 4 March for services and composite indicators.
The France PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) is produced by Markit Economics and is based on original survey data collected from a
representative panel of 750 companies based in the French manufacturing and service sectors. The flash estimate is based on around 85%
of total PMI survey responses each month and is designed to provide an accurate advance indication of the final PMI data.
The average differences between the flash and final PMI index values (final minus flash) since comparisons were first available in January
2006 are as follows (differences in absolute terms provide the better indication of true variation while average differences provide a better
indication of any bias):
Average Average difference
Index difference in absolute terms
(1)France Composite Output Index -0.1 0.4
(3)France Manufacturing PMI 0.1 0.4
(2)France Services Business Activity Index -0.2 0.6
The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) survey methodology has developed an outstanding reputation for providing the most up-to-date
possible indication of what is really happening in the private sector economy by tracking variables such as sales, employment, inventories
and prices. The indices are widely used by businesses, governments and economic analysts in financial institutions to help better
understand business conditions and guide corporate and investment strategy. In particular, central banks in many countries (including the
European Central Bank) use the data to help make interest rate decisions. PMI surveys are the first indicators of economic conditions
published each month and are therefore available well ahead of comparable data produced by government bodies.

Notes
1. The Composite Output PMI is a weighted average of the Manufacturing Output Index and the Services Business Activity Index.
2. The Services Business Activity Index is the direct equivalent of the Manufacturing Output Index, based on the survey question “Is the
level of business activity at your company higher, the same or lower than one month ago?”
3. The Manufacturing Output Index is based on the survey question “Is the level of production/output at your company higher, the same or
lower than one month ago?”
4. The Manufacturing PMI is a composite index based on a weighted combination of the following five survey variables (weights shown in
brackets): new orders (0.3); output (0.25); employment (0.2); suppliers’ delivery times (0.15); stocks of materials purchased (0.1). The
delivery times index is inverted.
Markit do not revise underlying survey data after first publication, but seasonal adjustment factors may be revised from time to time as
appropriate which will affect the seasonally adjusted data series. Historical data relating to the underlying (unadjusted) numbers, first
published seasonally adjusted series and subsequently revised data are available to subscribers from Markit. Please contact
[e-mail].
About Markit
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and improve operational efficiency. Our customers include banks, hedge funds, asset managers, central banks, regulators, auditors, fund
administrators and insurance companies. Founded in 2003, we employ over 3,000 people in 10 countries. Markit shares are listed on
NASDAQ under the symbol “MRKT”. For more information, please see www.markit.com.
About PMI
® ®Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI ) surveys are now available for 32 countries and also for key regions including the Eurozone. They are
the most closely-watched business surveys in the world, favoured by central banks, financial markets and business decision makers for their
ability to provide up-to-date, accurate and often unique monthly indicators of economic trends. To learn more go to
www.markit.com/economics.


®The intellectual property rights to the Flash France PMI provided herein are owned by or licensed to Markit Economics Limited. Any unauthorised use,
including but not limited to copying, distributing, transmitting or otherwise of any data appearing is not permitted without Markit’s prior consent. Markit