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Publié par | temis-developpement-durable |
Publié le | 01 janvier 2008 |
Nombre de lectures | 8 |
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En savoir + Paternité, pas d'utilisation commerciale, partage des conditions initiales à l'identique
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Langue | English |
Poids de l'ouvrage | 6 Mo |
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EU ECONOMIC REPORT
December 2008
CONTRIBUTORS
Country Association Contact E ‐mail Telephone
D. Rozsenich daniela.rozsenich@wko.at +43 150 105 48 01
Austria FFO
G. Klausner gerhard.klausner@wko.at +43 150 105 48 03
Belgium FEBIAC N. Atanassoff na@febiac.be +32 2 778 64 00
S. Hadjinikolov office@svab.bg +359 2 946 12 50
Bulgaria ACM D. Simeonov +359 2 946 12 50
Y. Spassov +359 2 946 12 51
Czech Republic AIACR S. Dolezal sapdol@autosap.cz +420 2 21 60 29 87
T. Laustsen Jensen tlj@bilimp.dk +45 39 16 23 23
Denmark DK BIL
B. Johansen bjo@bilimp.dk +45 39 16 23 23
Estonia AMTEL J. Uudla amtel@uninet.ee +372 6722 306
Finland AUTOTUOJAT H. Tamminen hilkka.tamminen@autotuojat.fi +358 9 6803 2010
France CCFA L. Massenet laurence.massenet@ccfa.fr +33 1 49 52 51 28
R. Diemer diemer@vda.de +32 2 504 60 67
Germany VDA A. Mans mans@vda.de +49 69 97 507 236
A. Fritz fritz@vda.de + 49 69 97 507 271
D. Patsios pastios@otenet.gr
Greece AMVIR +30 210 689 1400
A. Koulas koulas@otenet.koulas@otenet.gr gr
C. Baski csilla.baski@knorr‐bremse.com
Hungary AHAI +36 1 382 98 05
I. Zubornyák Ildiko.Zubornyak@knorr‐bremse.com
B. Cooke
Ireland SIMI statistics@simi.ie +353 16 76 16 90
L. Joyce
Italy ANFIA E. Pregnolato e.pregnolato@anfia.it +39 011 554 65 27
O. Ozols laada@laada.lv
Latvia LAADA +371 6752 99 79
N. Zunna Normunds.zunna@laada.lv
Lithuania LAA laa@aiva.lt +370 5 230 12 24
C. Boutens c.boutens@raivereniging.nl +31 205 04 49 49
Netherlands RAI L. Bingen l.bingen@raivereniging.nl +31 20 504 49 11
A. Blom a.blom@raivereniging.nl +31 205 04 49 63
Poland PZPM A. Brzozowska anna.brzozowska@pzpm.org.pl +48 22 322 73 99
A. Cavaco antonio.cavaco@acap.pt +351 213 035 319
Portugal ACAP
R. Archer rosario.archer@acap.pt +351 213 035 300
Romania ACAROM C. Stroe acarom@acarom.ro +40 248 219 958
L. Ujhelyi ujhelyi@seat.sk +421 248 247 801
Slovakia AIASR
M. Červeňanský zapsr@zapsr.sk +421 243 642 235
Slovenia ADS +386 1 58 98 206
A. Mur a.mur@anfac.com
Spain ANFAC +34 91 343 13 43
M. Moreno m.moreno@anfac.com
Sweden BIL SWEDEN M. Mattsson mats.mattsson@bilsweden.se +46 8 701 63 65
United Kingdom SMMT M. Croucher mcroucher@smmt.co.uk +44 20 72 35 70 00CONTENTS
European Union Economic Report
EU27 Economic Outlook
Summary table
Report
Recent Developments in the Motor Vehicle Industry:
New motor vehicle registrations
Report
Technical specifications: diesel, cubic capacity, power, segments & bodies
Motor vehicle production
Report
Summary table
Total motor vehicles
Passenger Cars
Light commercial vehicles
Medium & heavy commercial vehicles
Buses & coaches
Vehicles in use
Employment
Car price index
EU27 Taxation, Environment and Transport Policies
Country Reports
AT Austria BG Bulgaria
BE Belgium CZ Czech Republic
DK Denmark EE Estonia
FI Finland LV Latvia
FR France PL Poland
DE Germany RO Romania
EL Greece SK Slovakia
IT Italy
NL Netherlands
PT Portugal
ES Spain
SE Sweden
UK United Kingdom
????????????????
EUROPEAN UNION
ECONOMIC REPORT
Brussels, December 2008
ACEA
Quynh-Nhu Huynh
Tel.: + 32 2 738 73 55
E-mail: qh@acea.be
ECONOMIC REPORT - EUROPEAN UNION 200812 Economic Outlook ‐ EU27
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
% chg % chg % chg % chg % chg % chg % chg % chg % chg
02/01 03/02 04/03 05/04 06/05 07/06 08/07 09/08 10/09
forecast forecast forecast
Real GDP
Euro area +0.9 +0.8 +2.2 +1.7 +2.9 +2.7 +1.2 +0.1 +0.9
(European Commission)*
EU27 +1.2 +1.3 +2.5 +2.0 +3.1 +2.9 +1.4 +0.2 +1.1
Constant prices
Real GDP
Euro area +0.9 +0.8 +1.9 +1.8 +3.0 +2.6 +1.0 ‐0.2 n.a.
(Consensus Forecasts)**
EU27 n.a. n.a. n.a. +1.7 +3.1 +2.9 +1.3 0.0 n.a.
Constant prices
Last Economic Report Euro area +0.9 +0.8 +2.1 +1.6 +2.8 +2.6 +1.7 +1.5
GDP Forecast EU27 +1.2 +1.3 +2.5 +1.9 +3.1 +2.8 +2.0 +1.8
Euro area +0.9 +1.2 +1.6 +1.8 +2.0 +1.6 +0.5 +0.4 +1.0
Private Consumption*
EU27 +1.6 +1.7 +2.1 +2.0 +2.3 +2.2 +1.0 +0.2 +0.8
Industrial Production** Euro area ‐0.5 +0.3 +2.1 +1.4 +4.0 +3.4 +0.2 ‐1.4 n.a.
Euro areaarea ‐141.4 +1.3 +2+2.3 +3.3 +5.5 +4+4.33 +1.2 ‐262.6 +0.22
Gross FixedFixed Capital Formation*
Constant Prices
EU27 ‐0.5 +1.3 +3.0 +3.6 +6.1 +5.4 +1.2 ‐1.9 +0.9
Euro area +2.2 +1.9 +2.2 +2.2 +2.2 +2.1 +3.5 +2.2 +2.1
Consumer Prices*
HICP
EU27 +2.3 +2.1 +2.3 +2.3 +2.3 +2.4 +3.9 +2.4 +2.2
USD/barrel 25.0 28.5 38.0 55.1 66.2 72.5 104.0 85.7 90.4
Crude Petroleum*
(+0.1) (+13.9) (33.4) (+44.7) (+20.2) (+9.5) (+43.4) (‐17.5) (+5.5)
Euro area 127.8 105.0 104.4 49.4 24.8 60.7 33.9 55.1 70.4
Trade Balance*
€ bn
EU27 n.a. n.a. ‐43.1 ‐101.5 ‐168.4 ‐160.2 ‐188.8 ‐166.6 ‐148.1
Euro area 56.9 33.6 63.8 10.1 ‐10.8 13.1 ‐33.1 ‐10.7 ‐5.5
Current Account Balance*
€ bn
EU27 n.a. n.a. 10.3 ‐27.6 ‐96.3 ‐80.8 ‐116.0 ‐93.7 ‐75.3
Euro area +8.5 +8.6 +9.0 +9.0 +8.3 +7.5 +7.6 +8.4 +8.7
Unemployment*
EU27 +8.8 +8.9 +9.0 +8.9 +8.2 +7.1 +7.0 +7.8 +8.1
Data is seasonally adjusted
* European Commission, Eurostat/DG ECFIN ‐ Autumn 2008 Economic Forecast; Annual % change unless otherwise indicated
** Consensus Foreacasts November 2008
NB: Unemployment is expressed in % of total workforce, ILO definition.
5
ECONOMICECONOMIC REPORTREPORT ‐ ‐ EUROPEANEUROPEAN UNIONUNION 2008122008121Euro area and EU27 economic outlook – January-September 2008
Growth aggravated with escalating financial crisis
After a solid year 2007 where growth was sustained both in the euro area (+2.7%) and in
the EU 27 (+2.9%) amid torments on international financial markets, 2008 has been marked
in its second half with exceptional uncertainty of the economic situation, while the first half of