Industrial Energy Audit Incentive Program Overview

Arlene

Description

Technology Roadmapfor Expanding Bitumen and Heavy Oil ResourcesMarch 2006"Inaccessible" Heavy Oil and Bitumen - Key Focus Areas by Resource3.4b - HotCombustion Gases4.2 - Geochemistry &CO24.3 - Water Sources 3.1b - Alternate& Groundwater Steam Generation 3.2b - SubsurfaceKey Technology Focus Areas (excludes Thermal Oxidation/4.6 - AlternateCatalysis 3.2a - Products fromEnergy Sources - 3.0b - Stagedsustainability for now)Oxidation/Solvents3.5a - SolventGeothermal/Nuclear/ RecoveryInjection 3.2a - EnhancedCoalGasification (In-situor with coal)3.1a - ThermalSteam/Water - Near-4.6 - EnergyTerm PerformanceScavenging1.1a - Mapping 1.6a - Conventional4.3 - End-game -"Texture" of the Oil In-Situ ResourceLong-Term ImpactsSands Assessment1.7a - Intermediate -1.1b - Flow BarrierContainmentAssessmentsCritical, not Depth1.9a - Conventional1.3 ConventionalPrimary (CHOPS)3.0c - BuildingMineableBarriers1.10a - Post-CHOPSOptions2.3b - SubsurfaceAccess Mining/1.8a - CarbonateDrilling/Piles4.2 GHG ImpactsPotential2.3a - Long-wallMining1.7b - Thin Oilsands2.4a - Borehole 4.5 - Security 4.3 - EnvironmentalMining Impacts Impacts2.5a - PipelineDrilling and4.4 - EconomicBoreholesImpacts3/17/2006 2Presentation - change in Header/Footer tab slideÆÆ]Æ]ÆÆFraming Needs – Short-term???Risk Management Driven – Respond to SurprizesSome technologies may be needed in near-term█ Assessing and Building Flow Barriers - If shallow ...

Informations

• Publié par: Vaep
• Nombre de lectures: 22
• Langue: English

Extrait

Technology Roadmap

for Expanding Bitumen and Heavy Oil

Resources

March 2006

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3.2a - Products from Oxidation/Solvents 3.2a - Enhanced Gasification (In-situ or with coal) 4.6 - Energy Scavenging

3.2b - Subsurface Thermal Oxidation/ Catalysis 3.5a Solvent - Injection

4.2 - Geochemistry & CO 2 3.0b - Staged Recovery

4.3 - Water Sources & Groundwater

1.6a - Conventional In-Situ Resource Assessment 1.7a - Intermediate - Containment Critical, not Depth 1.9a - Conventional Primary (CHOPS) 1.10a - Post-CHOPS Options 1.8a - Carbonate Potential 1.7b - Thin Oilsands  

3.1a - Thermal Steam/Water - Near- Term Performance

3.4b - Hot Combustion Gases 3.1b - Alternate Steam Generation 4.6 - Alternate Energy Sources - Geothermal/Nuclear/ Coal

1.1a - Mapping "Texture" of the Oil Sands 1.3 Conventional Mineable 2.3a - Long-wall   Mining 2.4a - Borehole Mining 2.5a - Pipeline Drilling and Boreholes

1.1b - Flow Barrier Assessments

3.0c - Building Barriers 2.3b - Subsurface Access Mining/ Drilling/Piles

4.2 GHG Impacts

4.5 - Security 4.3 - Environmental Impacts Impacts

4.4 - Economic Impacts

4.3 - End-game - Long-Term Impacts

Framing Needs – Short-term???

] Risk Management Driven – Respond to Surprizes ] Some technologies may be needed in near-term █ Assessing and Building Flow Barriers - If shallow SAG-D operations turn out to be uncontained. May take 5-10 years to find out as steam chambers reach top of oilsands and start to spread out █ Replacement for CHOPS – When new drilling locations run out. To maintain production in developed primary production areas from Peace River Æ Cold Lake Æ Lloyd Æ Wainwright Æ Provost Æ Medicine Hat █ Respond to water limitations – Minimum flows in Athabasca; groundwater (fresh or brine) accellerated depletion █ Take “heat” off Ft. McMurray – Earlier development of Carbonates; extend production from primary areas

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Framing Needs – Medium-Term??

] Development Management Driven – Spread Load/Benefits ] Some Technologies may be Applied Earlier than 30 years █ Extend surface mining with sub-surface mining from exposed mine faces at “mineable” edges. Opportunity to use existing access and infrastructure into adjacent areas with greater overburden, and/or thinner pay ’ █ Carbonate – Promising results from 1980 s, opportunity to begin development of “sweet spots” west through Slave Lake, off-load Ft. McMurray. █ CO 2 Outlet – Carbonates may be able to take some CO 2 when conventional oil EOR schemes are all underway. █ Potential Synergies in parallel development of other resources. E.g. coal ($1-2/GJ) for fuel and co-processing.

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Framing Needs – Long-Term?

] Supply/Demand/Societal Needs Management ] How long is long-term? █ Timing of need for Expanding Resources depends on many factors █ Total production rate from bitumen and heavy oil █ 3, 5, 10, 20 million bbls a day? Pace of ramp up? █ E.g. All surface mineable: █ 25 years at 5 million bbls a day; █ 30-50 years at 3-3.5 million bopd; █ 125 years at 1 million bpd █ Actual Recoveries Achieved from in-situ “Accessible” █ Some assume 30%, some assume 50%, others less depending on how they define “accessible”, “resource” and “recovery” e.g. SAG-D limit 10 m thickness or 20m?

CSS and SAGD (10-30% recovery??) 83.5 (8.4-25?)

31

billion m 3 Surface mining (70-80% recovery??) 9.4 (6.6-7.5?)

% Total 3.5

24 (1.2-2.4?)

117 (16-35?)

9

43 (14%)

Initial In-Place Volume (Assumed Recoverable)

Current Bitumen Reservoirs

At 3 million bopd – 80-190 years At 5 million bopd – 50-115 years At 8 million bopd – 30-72 years (40-50% of North American demand)

Primary Cold (5-10%??)

Total

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Lower Return on Capital Less Consumption Present Value Driven More People Required Long-term View Sustainable Growth

Sustainability

Development

B D ala e n lo ce p   m of e   n S t ustainability vs. Rapid  ev

Higher Return on Capital More Consumption Payout Driven Fewer People Required Short-term View Who Determines the Rapid Growth Æ Bust? Desired Balance?

6

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Resource Recovery

Multi-level Risk Indicators – Economic/Societal

Need for More Quantitative Indicators

Economic Bottom-line Quantitative Measures

True Triple Bottom-line Quantitative

Reclamation/Restoration

Current Co M n i d x i   t o i f on Energy/GHG Intensity Quantitative Qualitativ Water Intensity/Quality

3/17/2006

Breakout #1 Group Topics

1. Carbonates/stage two in-situ 2. Sub-Surface Mineable 3. Post-CHOPS 4. ADOE Policy

Presentation - change in Header/Footer tab slide

9

3/17/2006

Breakout #2 Group Topics

1. Near-term technologies to Focus on 2. Potential Funding Mechanisms for R&D 3. Access to Data and Collaboration 4. ADOE Policy (continued)

Presentation - change in Header/Footer tab slide

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] Facilitator will lead session ] Presenter to be nominated from group ] Brainstorm issues, ideas, challenges ] Identify key opportunities & rank them ] Discuss first steps on key items: █ What █ Who █ When █ How

Breakout Group Roles