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IF A FEDERAL ELECTION FOR THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES WAS HELD TODAY, WHICH ONE OF THE FOLLOWING WOULD
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IF A FEDERAL ELECTION FOR THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES WAS HELD TODAY, WHICH ONE OF THE FOLLOWING WOULD

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© Copyright NEWSPOLL Any reproduction of this material must credit both NEWSPOLL and THE AUSTRALIAN IN THE FEDERAL ELECTION FOR THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES TO BE HELD ON SATURDAY THE 9TH OF OCTOBER, WHICH ONE OF THE FOLLOWING WILL YOU VOTE FOR? IF “UNCOMMITTED”, TO WHICH ONE OF THESE DO YOU HAVE A LEANING? --------------------------AREA-------------------------- ------------SEX----------- -------------------AGE------------------ FIVE NON CAPITAL CAPITAL TOTAL NSW* VIC QLD SA WA MALE FEMALE 18-34 35-49 50+ CITIES CITIES%% % % %%% %% % %% % COALITION Election 10 Nov 2001# 43.1 42.3 42.2 45.645.9 42.446 4643 44 5141.9 44.8 Apr-Jun 2004 43 42 40 46 4544 4342 3639 50 4146 Jul-Aug 2004 4340444346 4743 4236 41 4943 43 3-5 & 10-12 Sept 2004 46 44 47 50 41 47 46 46 39 41 55 44 49 10-12 & 17-19 Sept 2004 45 44 44 47 44 46 45 44 37 42 52 44 46 17-19 & 24-26 Sept 2004 43 42 40 43 47 45 42 43 39 39 48 42 44 24-26 Sept & 1-3 Oct 2004 44 42 42 46 48 48 43 45 40 40 50 43 47 Liberal 40 38 40 37 48 47 39 42 37 37 45 42 38 Nationals 4429@ 14333 519 LABOR Election 10 Nov 2001# 37.8 37.0 41.6 34.7 33.7 37.1 37 40 39 40 36 40.4 33.8 Apr-Jun 2004 42 40 45 42 38 41 41434445 3743 40 Jul-Aug 2004 4040414341 3541 40 46 41 36 4040 3-5 & 10-12 Sept 2004 40 42 38 39 44 35 40 39 45 43 34 41 38 10-12 & 17-19 Sept 2004 40 41 40 40 41 37 40 41 47 41 35 41 39 17-19 & 24-26 Sept 2004 40 40 43 40 38 36 40 41 42 41 38 41 39 24-26 Sept & 1-3 Oct ...

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© Copyright NEWSPOLL
Any reproduction of this material must credit both NEWSPOLL and THE AUSTRALIAN
IN THE FEDERAL ELECTION FOR THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES TO BE HELD ON SATURDAY THE 9TH OF OCTOBER, WHICH ONE OF THE FOLLOWING WILL
YOU VOTE FOR?
IF “UNCOMMITTED”, TO WHICH ONE OF THESE DO YOU HAVE A LEANING?
--------------------------AREA--------------------------
------------SEX-----------
-------------------AGE------------------
FIVE
NON
TOTAL
NSW*
VIC
QLD
SA
WA
MALE
FEMALE
18-34
35-49
50+
CAPITAL
CITIES
CAPITAL
CITIES
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
COALITION
Election 10 Nov 2001#
43.1
42.3
42.2
45.6
45.9
42.4
46
46
43
44
51
41.9
44.8
Apr-Jun 2004
43
42
40
46
45
44
43
42
36
39
50
41
46
Jul-Aug 2004
43
40
44
43
46
47
43
42
36
41
49
43
43
3-5 & 10-12 Sept 2004
46
44
47
50
41
47
46
46
39
41
55
44
49
10-12 & 17-19 Sept 2004
45
44
44
47
44
46
45
44
37
42
52
44
46
17-19 & 24-26 Sept 2004
43
42
40
43
47
45
42
43
39
39
48
42
44
24-26 Sept & 1-3 Oct 2004
44
42
42
46
48
48
43
45
40
40
50
43
47
Liberal
40
38
40
37
48
47
39
42
37
37
45
42
38
Nationals
4
4
2
9
@
1
4
3
3
3
5
1
9
LABOR
Election 10 Nov
2001#
37.8
37.0
41.6
34.7
33.7
37.1
37
40
39
40
36
40.4
33.8
Apr-Jun 2004
42
40
45
42
38
41
41
43
44
45
37
43
40
Jul-Aug 2004
40
40
41
43
41
35
41
40
46
41
36
40
40
3-5 & 10-12 Sept 2004
40
42
38
39
44
35
40
39
45
43
34
41
38
10-12 & 17-19 Sept 2004
40
41
40
40
41
37
40
41
47
41
35
41
39
17-19 & 24-26 Sept 2004
40
40
43
40
38
36
40
41
42
41
38
41
39
24-26 Sept & 1-3 Oct 2004
40
41
42
38
38
35
40
39
41
42
37
41
37
OTHERS
Election
10 Nov 2001#
19.1
20.7
16.2
19.7
20.4
20.5
17
14
18
16
13
17.7
21.4
Apr-Jun 2004
15
18
15
12
17
15
16
15
20
16
13
16
14
Jul-Aug 2004
17
20
15
14
13
18
16
18
18
18
15
17
17
3-5 & 10-12 Sept 2004
14
14
15
11
15
18
14
15
16
16
11
15
13
10-12 & 17-19 Sept 2004
15
15
16
13
15
17
15
15
16
17
13
15
15
17-19 & 24-26 Sept 2004
17
18
17
17
15
19
18
16
19
20
14
17
17
© Copyright NEWSPOLL
Any reproduction of this material must credit both NEWSPOLL and THE AUSTRALIAN
24-26 Sept & 1-3 Oct 2004
Democrats
1
@
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
@
1
1
Greens
7
7
8
4
6
8
7
7
11
7
4
8
4
One Nation
@
1
-
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
Rest
8
9
7
11
6
8
9
8
7
10
9
7
11
24-26 Sept & 1-3 Oct 2004
16
17
16
16
14
17
17
16
19
18
13
16
16
* Including ACT.
# For sex and age final NEWSPOLL election survey conducted 7-8 November 2001 results used.
@ Less than 0.5 per cent
© Copyright NEWSPOLL
Any reproduction of this material must credit both NEWSPOLL and THE AUSTRALIAN
TO WHICH PARTY WILL YOU GIVE YOUR SECOND PREFERENCE?
--------------------------AREA-------------------------
-----------SEX----------
------------AGE-----------
FIVE
NON
TWO PARTY PREFERRED
TOTAL
NSW*
VIC
QLD
SA
WA
MALE
FEMALE
18-34
35-49
50+
CAPITAL
CITIES
CAPITAL
CITIES
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
COALITION
Election 10 Nov 2001
51.0
51.0
47.9
54.9
54.1
51.6
na
na
na
na
na
48.6
54.5
Apr-Jun 2004
49
50
45
50
51
50
50
48
43
45
55
47
51
Jul-Aug 2004
48
46
47
50
50
53
48
49
41
46
55
47
50
3-5 & 10-12 Sept 2004
50
48
50
55
46
53
49
51
43
46
57
47
54
10-12 & 17-19 Sept 2004
49
48
49
53
48
51
49
49
41
48
56
48
51
17-19 & 24-26 Sept 2004
48
48
46
47
53
52
48
48
44
46
53
46
51
24-26 Sept & 1-3 Oct 2004
49
48
47
50
54
54
49
50
44
46
56
47
53
ALP
Election 10 Nov 2001
49.0
49.0
52.1
45.1
45.9
48.4
Na
Na
Na
Na
na
51.4
45.5
Apr-Jun 2004
51
50
55
50
49
50
50
52
57
55
45
53
49
Jul-Aug 2004
52
54
53
50
50
47
52
51
59
54
45
53
50
3-5 & 10-12 Sept 2004
50
52
50
45
54
47
51
49
57
54
43
53
46
10-12 & 17-19 Sept 2004
51
52
51
47
52
49
51
51
59
52
44
52
49
17-19 & 24-26 Sept 2004
52
52
54
53
47
48
52
52
56
54
47
54
49
24-26 Sept & 1-3 Oct 2004
51
52
53
50
46
46
51
50
56
54
44
53
47
* Including ACT
© Copyright NEWSPOLL
Any reproduction of this material must credit both NEWSPOLL and THE AUSTRALIAN
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY MR JOHN HOWARD IS DOING HIS JOB AS PRIME MINISTER?
-------------------AREA---------------------
----------SEX---------
-----------------AGE---------------
FIVE
NON
TOTAL
NSW*
VIC
QLD
SA
WA
MALE
FEMALE
18-34
35-49
50+
CAPITAL
CITIES
CAPITAL
CITIES
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
SATISFIED
Apr-Jun 2004
53
54
51
58
52
53
54
53
53
50
56
52
55
Jul-Aug 2004
51
51
47
52
53
57
52
50
50
49
54
50
53
3-5 & 10-12 Sept 2004
53
50
51
59
49
55
55
50
51
47
58
50
56
10-12 & 17-19 Sept 2004
53
53
49
56
50
54
55
50
49
50
57
50
56
17-19 & 24-26 Sept 2004
51
52
46
51
54
53
51
50
50
48
53
49
53
24-26 Sept & 1-3 Oct 2004
51
51
48
51
56
53
50
52
50
50
53
49
54
DISSATISFIED
Apr-Jun 2004
38
39
39
35
38
37
39
38
37
41
37
40
36
Jul-Aug 2004
40
41
43
39
38
31
40
39
40
41
38
41
38
3-5 & 10-12 Sept 2004
39
43
40
33
42
34
38
40
39
46
35
42
35
10-12 & 17-19 Sept 2004
40
40
43
38
42
37
39
41
42
43
36
42
37
17-19 & 24-26 Sept 2004
40
39
45
41
38
37
41
40
40
41
39
42
38
24-26 Sept & 1-3 Oct 2004
38
37
41
39
34
35
39
36
38
38
37
40
35
UNCOMMITTED
Apr-Jun 2004
9
7
10
7
10
10
7
9
10
9
7
8
9
Jul-Aug 2004
9
8
10
9
9
12
8
11
10
10
8
9
9
3-5 & 10-12 Sept 2004
8
7
9
8
9
11
7
10
10
7
7
8
9
10-12 & 17-19 Sept 2004
7
7
8
6
8
9
6
9
9
7
7
8
7
17-19 & 24-26 Sept 2004
9
9
9
8
8
10
8
10
10
11
8
9
9
24-26 Sept & 1-3 Oct 2004
11
12
11
10
10
12
11
12
12
12
10
11
11
* Including ACT
© Copyright NEWSPOLL
Any reproduction of this material must credit both NEWSPOLL and THE AUSTRALIAN
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY MR MARK LATHAM IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE OPPOSITION?
-------------------AREA---------------------
----------SEX---------
-----------------AGE---------------
FIVE
NON
TOTAL
NSW*
VIC
QLD
SA
WA
MALE
FEMALE
18-34
35-49
50+
CAPITAL
CITIES
CAPITAL
CITIES
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
SATISFIED
Apr-Jun 2004
55
54
57
54
53
55
58
52
59
56
51
56
53
Jul-Aug 2004
49
50
48
49
50
45
53
45
55
51
43
49
48
3-5 & 10-12 Sept 2004
50
51
49
51
52
46
56
44
53
52
47
51
50
10-12 & 17-19 Sept 2004
53
53
52
52
55
49
57
48
56
55
48
53
52
17-19 & 24-26 Sept 2004
52
53
51
51
54
48
54
49
57
53
47
53
50
24-26 Sept & 1-3 Oct 2004
50
52
48
48
54
44
52
47
54
52
45
51
48
DISSATISFIED
Apr-Jun 2004
28
29
27
28
32
27
29
27
23
27
33
28
29
Jul-Aug 2004
34
36
34
32
29
32
33
34
25
33
40
34
33
3-5 & 10-12 Sept 2004
32
32
31
35
31
32
30
35
27
32
37
31
34
10-12 & 17-19 Sept 2004
30
31
29
33
29
31
29
32
25
29
36
30
32
17-19 & 24-26 Sept 2004
32
32
32
33
29
32
32
31
28
29
36
30
34
24-26 Sept & 1-3 Oct 2004
32
31
32
34
29
35
32
32
29
30
36
31
34
UNCOMMITTED
Apr-Jun 2004
17
17
16
18
15
18
13
21
18
17
16
16
18
Jul-Aug 2004
17
14
18
19
21
23
14
21
20
16
17
17
19
3-5 & 10-12 Sept 2004
18
17
20
14
17
22
14
21
20
16
16
18
16
10-12 & 17-19 Sept 2004
17
16
19
15
16
20
14
20
19
16
16
17
16
17-19 & 24-26 Sept 2004
16
15
17
16
17
20
14
20
15
18
17
17
16
24-26 Sept & 1-3 Oct 2004
18
17
20
18
17
21
16
21
17
18
19
18
18
* Including ACT
© Copyright NEWSPOLL
Any reproduction of this material must credit both NEWSPOLL and THE AUSTRALIAN
WHO DO YOU THINK WOULD MAKE THE BETTER PRIME MINISTER?
-------------------AREA---------------------
----------SEX---------
-----------------AGE---------------
FIVE
NON
TOTAL
NSW*
VIC
QLD
SA
WA
MALE
FEMALE
18-34
35-49
50+
CAPITAL
CITIES
CAPITAL
CITIES
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
MR JOHN HOWARD
Apr-Jun 2004
49
49
47
53
50
50
50
49
45
46
55
48
51
Jul-Aug 2004
49
48
47
50
50
53
49
49
44
47
54
48
51
3-5 & 10-12 Sept 2004
49
48
50
57
45
49
52
48
44
44
57
47
53
10-12 & 17-19 Sept 2004
49
49
46
53
44
50
52
46
41
46
56
48
49
17-19 & 24-26 Sept 2004
48
48
45
48
49
51
48
47
42
46
52
47
49
24-26 Sept & 1-3 Oct 2004
48
48
46
51
49
52
50
47
45
45
53
47
51
MR MARK LATHAM
Apr-Jun 2004
36
35
37
33
37
35
37
34
40
38
30
37
33
Jul-Aug 2004
34
36
35
34
29
30
36
32
40
35
29
36
31
3-5 & 10-12 Sept 2004
35
39
33
28
39
32
36
34
39
38
30
37
32
10-12 & 17-19 Sept 2004
35
35
37
32
38
33
35
35
40
37
30
36
33
17-19 & 24-26 Sept 2004
36
35
40
36
33
32
37
35
43
37
31
38
33
24-26 Sept & 1-3 Oct 2004
34
34
37
32
31
30
35
33
41
35
28
36
30
UNCOMMITTED
Apr-Jun 2004
15
16
16
14
13
15
13
17
15
16
15
15
16
Jul-Aug 2004
17
16
18
16
21
17
15
19
16
18
17
16
18
3-5 & 10-12 Sept 2004
16
13
17
15
16
19
12
18
17
18
13
16
15
10-12 & 17-19 Sept 2004
16
16
17
15
18
17
13
19
19
17
14
16
18
17-19 & 24-26 Sept 2004
16
17
15
16
18
17
15
18
15
17
17
15
18
24-26 Sept & 1-3 Oct 2004
18
18
17
17
20
18
15
20
14
20
19
17
19
*
Including ACT
These surveys were conducted on the telephone by trained interviewers among voters in all states of Australia and in both city and country areas.
Telephone
numbers and the person within the household were selected at random.
The data has been weighted to reflect the population distribution.
This latest survey is
based on a reanalysis of surveys conducted on 24-26 September and 1-3 October 2004 and is based on a total of 3381 interviews among voters.
Individual
state sample bases range from 636 to 668.
Note:
sample size in Tasmania is too small for a meaningful separate analysis, however Tasmania is included in
total figures.
Northern Territory is excluded.
Copyright at all times remains with NEWSPOLL.
More poll information is available at
www.newspoll.com.au
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