Transformation Audit 2011

Description

The 2011 Transformation Audit presents a collection of articles by South African thought leaders, which asks how the country can set goals and achieve them in a hostile global climate that threatens developmental gains that have been painstakingly achieved. For nearly two decades, South Africans have conducted exhaustive analyses of the country�s challenges, embarked on bold scenario exercises and, more recently, produced forward looking strategies aimed at addressing these challenges. The most eminent of these in recent years were the Department of Economic Development�s New Growth Path, and the National Planning Commission�s Draft National Development Plan. We know now what the problems are and, by and large, what needs to change to address them. Courage is required now to forge consensus, to take decisions on strategies, and to start implementing them. As in previous years, this publication, with its slightly different format and appearance, seeks to provide analysis and provoke debate on how this might be achieved.

Informations

• Publié par: African Minds
• Date de parution: 08 mars 2012
• Nombre de lectures: 3
• EAN13: 9781920489441
• Langue: English
• Poids de l'ouvrage: 2 Mo

Extrait

Transformation Audit · 2011

From inequality to inclusive growth South Africa's pursuit of shared prosperity in extraordinary times

ECoNoMiC GoVeRNàNCe: Policy stability amidst global volatility

EMpLoYMeNT:Is the labour movement still representing the working class?

EDUCàTioN:School ratings that miss the mark?

PoVeRTY àND INeqUàLiTY: Unsustainable development?

PUbLiC OpiNioN: Economic insecurity in a time of uncertainty

From Inequality to Inclusive Growth

South Africa’s pursuit of shared prosperity in extraordinary times

Edited by Jan Hofmeyr

Institute for Justice and Reconciliation www.ijr.org.za

2011 Transformatîon Audît: Buîdîng an Incusîve Economy în Troubed Tîmes I

2011 Transformation Audit www.transformationaudit.org

Published by the Institute for Justice and Reconciliation Wynberg Mews, 10 Brodie Road, Wynberg 7800, Cape Town, South Africa www.ijr.org.za

Text © Institute for Justice and Reconciliation Cover: © James P. Blair/National Geographic/Getty Images Images © Jan Hofmeyr: pp. 1, 22, 46, 68, 94; The Biggerpicture/Reuters: © Siphiwe SibeKo pp. 19/43, © Rogan Ward p. 39 Getty Images: © Richard du Toit p. 87

All rights reserved. ISBN: 9781920219352

Copyedited by Laurie RoseInnes Scorecards by DereK Yu Designed and produced by COMPRESS.dsl www.compressdsl.com

Orders to be placed with either Blue Weaver MarKeting and Distribution Tel: [phone] Fax: [phone] Email: [e-mail] or the IJR Tel: [phone] Email: [e-mail]

Authors to this publication write in their personal capacity. Their views do not necessarily reflect those of their employers, nor the Institute for Justice and Reconciliation.

IITransformatîon Audît: Buîdîng an Incusîve Economy în Troubed Tîmes 2011

Lîst of tabes and fîgures Contrîbutors Acronyms and abbrevîatîons Preface Introductîon Jan Hofmeyr

CHAPTER 1 Economic governance

Contents

Revîew: ‘If you want peace, fîght for justîce’: Economîc poîcy în a dîvîded socîety Neva Makgetla

Opînîon: Natîonaîsatîon of mînes A necessary step towards economic liberation Chris Malikane

Burdening the state does not serve the cause of economic liberation Michael Spicer

CHAPTER 2 The labour market Revîew: Empoyment under pressure – încusîve strategîes are în everybody’s înterest Saliem Patel

Opînîon: Are abour unîons stî servîng the înterests of the entîre workîng cass? Reinvent to remain relevant: The challenge for unions as the voice of the worKing class EbrahimKhalil Hassen

Trade union strategies are not helping the poor and unemployed Carol Paton

îv vî vîî vîîî îx

01

04

13

17

22

26

35

40

CHAPTER 3 Skills and education

Revîew: The chaenge of South Afrîcan schooîng: dîmensîons, targets and înîtîatîves Linda Chisholm

Opînîon: Do unîform targets hep to împrove schooîng outcomes? Balanced criteria should replace perverse passrate incentives Nick Taylor

Beware of the misleading means and measures Russell Wildeman

CHAPTER 4 Poverty and inequality Revîew:Poîcîes for reducîng încome înequaîty and poverty în South Afrîca Arden Finn, Murray Leibbrandt & Eva Wegner

Opînîon: Is ît tîme to adopt a new deveopmenta mode? Planning the status quo? A sustainable development model needs new thinKing Patrick Bond

Social and economic inclusion in postapartheid South Africa Vusi Gumede

CHAPTER 5 Perceptions of wellbeing Economic security in a time of uncertainty: A South African public opinion perspective Jan Hofmeyr & Lucía Tiscornia

References

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62

68

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82

88

95

98

108

Tables

Table 1.1.1 Table 2.1.1 Table 3.2.1 Table 3.2.2 Table 3.2.3 Table 3.2.4 Table 3.2.5 Table 3.2.6 Table 3.2.7 Table 3.3.1 Table 3.3.2 Table 4.1.1 Table 4.1.2 Table 4.1.3 Table 4.1.4 Table 4.1.5 Table 4.1.6 Table 4.1.7 Table 4.1.8 Table 4.1.9 Table 4.3.1 Table 4.3.2 Table 4.3.3 Table 4.3.4 Table 5.1 Table 5.2 Table 5.3 Table 5.4 Table 5.5 Table 5.6 Table 5.7 Table 5.8 Table 5.9 Table 5.10 Table 5.11 Table 5.12 Table 5.13 Table 5.14

Lîst of tabes and fîgures

Summary of broad poîcy phases, 1994–2010 Average mînîmum wage (AMW) across a bargaînîng unîts, 2003–2010 Survîva rates, Grades 10–12, 2008–2011 Bacheor-eve NSC passes, 2003–2010 Candîdates takîng mathematîcs, physîca scîence and accountancy, 2009–2010 Students takîng mathematîcs în the NSC, 2008–2010 NSC entry and passes by race NSC entry and passes în mathematîcs by race Mathematîcs partîcîpatîon and success rates by gender, 2009 Correatîons across cohorts în a UK three-year study, 1990–1992 Correatîon between mean achîevement eves and vaue-added measures for Grades 8 and 10 (USA natîona data) Gînî coeffîcîents of per capîta încome, aggregate and by race Poverty headcount ratîos Gînî coeffîcîents for market and dîsposabe încome, 1993 and 2008 Numbers of benefîcîarîes of socîa grants în 1997 and 2009 Concentratîon ratîos for socîa spendîng Uncondîtîona probabîîtîes, 1993 Uncondîtîona probabîîtîes, 2008 Condîtîona probabîîtîes from ordered probît, 1993 Condîtîona probabîîtîes from ordered probît, 2008 Estîmates of îfe expectancy – natîona, gender-, race- and provînce-specîfîc estîmates Estîmated îteracy and îîteracy rates for a aduts Access to safe drînkîng water and chîd nutrîtîona status Estîmates of the Human Deveopment Index and the Human Poverty Index Maîn dîvîsîve eements în South Afrîca How do you thînk the economîc sîtuatîon în South Afrîca wî change în the next 12 months? How does your fînancîa sîtuatîon compare to what ît was îke 12 months ago? How do the chances of you fîndîng a job compare to what they were îke 12 months ago? It îs hîghy îkey that I wî be unempoyed at some stage durîng the next year It îs better to have a ow-payîng fu-tîme job than ît îs to have to make your own îvîng Are your chances of accessîng pubîc servîces...than other peope în 2011? Are your chances of accessîng pubîc servîces...than other peope în 2011? (LSM) How woud you descrîbe your own îvîng condîtîons în 2011? How woud you descrîbe the îvîng condîtîons of most peope în the communîty where you îve în 2011? Comparîng your îvîng condîtîons to those of most other South Afrîcans în 2011, do you fee you are...? How do your îvîng condîtîons compare to what they were îke 12 months ago? How much confîdence do you have în...? Trust în eadershîp (agree wîth statement)

IV 2011 Transformatîon Audît: From Inequaîty to Incusîve Growth

Figures Figure 1.1.1 Figure 1.1.2 Figure 1.1.3 Figure 1.1.4 Figure 1.1.5 Figure 1.1.6 Figure 1.1.7 Figure 1.1.8 Figure 1.1.9 Figure 2.1.1 Figure 2.1.2 Figure 2.1.3 Figure 2.1.4 Figure 2.1.5 Figure 2.1.6 Figure 2.1.7 Figure 2.3.1 Figure 2.3.2 Figure 3.2.1 Figure 5.1 Figure 5.2 Figure 5.3

Lîst of tabes and fîgures

Growth în South Afrîca and other upper- and ower-mîdde-încome economîes, 1980–2010 Investment by type of organîsatîon as a percentage of GDP, 1994–2011 Reported Gînî coeffîcîents înternatîonay and în South Afrîca, 2000–2009 Share of aduts wîth empoyment, 1970–2010 Growth by sector, 1994–2010 (share of tota vaue added în 2010 în brackets) Net fows of portfoîo equîty, pubîc and prîvate bonds and foreîgn dîrect învestment as a percentage of GDP for the BRICS, 1994–2007 and 2008–2010 Credît to househods and the rest of the prîvate sector reatîve to GDP, 1994–2010 Merchandîse exports by îndustry, 1994–2010 Share of remuneratîon în tota vaue added by major îndustrîes, 1994–2010 Number of work stoppages and number of workîng days ost, 2006–2010 Number of încîdents by îndustry, 2009–2010 Workîng days ost by îndustry, 2009–2010 Number of days ost per thousand empoyees, 2009–2010 Number of men and women empoyed, 2001–2011 Percentage empoyed of tota workîng-age popuatîon, 2001–2011 Empoyment and unempoyment by racîa group, 2011 Youth and adut empoyment ratîos în South Afrîca and seected emergîng market economîes Ratîo of mînîmum wage to average wage of fu-tîme workers, seected countrîes Enroment, passes and pass rate, Senîor Certîfîcate, 1994–2010 Tota number of grant and pensîon recîpîents (’000s) Access to forma dweîngs în numbers and as proportîon of popuatîon Perceptîons of whether respondents’ racîa category affects theîr chances of access to pubîc servîces în 2011

2011 Transformatîon Audît: From Inequaîty to Incusîve Growth V