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Perspectives financières de la dépendance des personnes âgées à l'horizon 2025 : prévisions et marges de choix

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188 pages
1% par an en moyenne, telle est la prévision de croissance du nombre de personnes âgées dépendantes jusqu'en 2040. Le rapport pose la question du financement des dépenses liées à la prise en charge de la dépendance, sur la base notamment de deux autres rapports, l'un émanant de la Cour des comptes sur « Les personnes âgées dépendantes » (novembre 2005) et l'autre du Centre d'Analyse Stratégique intitulé « Personnes âgées dépendantes : bâtir le scénario du libre choix » (juin 2006).
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 !"  !""#
$% &'' (' )*'+",- &' &'."-"+",- '+ &' '"'+' %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%/ $% & '$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$( $!)&  *&$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$( $!$$+,'  & &  &&$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$( $!$!$  - &+,'   & &  . $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$/ $!$0$  .1 &+ *  *&  &&$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$  $0$% & *$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$0 $0$$ +'    -  2    2 &  2 3& $$$$$$$$$$$ 0 $0$!$  '& '   *   2 +2 & & -3  2    &&$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$4 $0$0$ +' &  '2 -3  & $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ 5 0% ( '1"",- &' ,*+ 2 '1"",- '+ #' &' 3,"4 %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% $5 !$ 6  2- & - &  ,' &&   & !"!" $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ / !$$$      + & 2$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$/ !$$!$ + & 2   - &  && $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ !" !$!$ 6 ' &   &  *     && $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ !( !$!$$        & &$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$!# !$!$!$  *7*  +2 &   *' $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ !/ !$!$0$ ) . 18 -  +2 & 9 &  $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ 0 6% (' ,('+")*' &- ( ,*1'+*' &' ,*+ %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% 67 0$$  3 &    -$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ 04 0$$$       *'$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ 04 0$$!$ 2 & : &+7 '3$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$0# 0$$0$  & +;$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$4" 0$$4$ +  &  -* 2 $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ 4( 0$!$ +. &  &  2- & ' $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ 4# 0$!$$    &   *' $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ 4# 0$!$!$ 6 - -- &   &  &   & - & $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$4< 0$!$0$    &- & &  $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ 5" 0$!$4$+2 & $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$5! 0$0$    & + 2 &  2 & 3$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ 54 0$0$$  3 & 3 $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ 54 0$0$!$ *$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$5( 0$0$0$ 3 & & & 27$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$5< 7%(' ,"'-++",- ."--"''%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%/6 4$$ :*      -3 $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ (0 4$$$  * & - $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ (0 4$$!$  &+ & $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$(5 4$$0$  3 2    &  - $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ (< 4$!$ + 2 & 3  &7     & &  = 3+ 2' & 2$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$#4$!$$  &+2 & &$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$#4$!$!$ &7 = 3  & 2  $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ #! 8% &' ( &''-&-'  ( '+' &!*+,-,"' 2 #'-& '+ #,*1'--' %%%%%% 99 5$$ 6   & +'&       &  & &   2    &  2 !""5$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$## 5$$$ ) 2  &  '      - &+,' 3    $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$## 5$$!$   3 & &   2    &  2 !""5 $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ #< 5$$0$  *$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$/" 5$!$  &+ '&   &&$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$/
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5$!$$:  * & - & +;$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$/5$!$!$   & $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$/! 5$0$ 2 &+ '2 $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$/0 5$0$$   = & : '1 &  ' &  3 &  $$$$$$$$$$ /0 5$0$!$ :  :>   2 &+ -* &   &+ 2 ' /4 ,-(*",-%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%59
0
+& &+ 3 3 &      && &  ,'   &- &  &- &  <<" ?&  * 2   $  +3     & &    9$ )  &   & 3 &&  '  8  3     &  *'$
+ ; &+ @;A   !""   3 &+  &      2 B  -   & &+-  1  2  B     +-. &   $  & !""4    &  - & &  +         +  &  $ +; 3    . &+ &+ &&  $ C  <<5!  &+ 2&3      - & . & 3 30$ :  & & &  -  &  &     - &+  &     1 $   2 ' 3     ,* &  D  ! :     E4+    & &  $
  &  ?  ; C   !""4 '  : > & &  + F:>G  22  &5   &   $  &-   = &  :> 3   2     2&  &    2 3  +'& & + &$  &   3 3 .3+  & +' 2      *' & '  &    &+ * &$
:* +&  H 3 +* &  !""4 &  '$ '  2  1      3 &  &- &  <<"(  &- - 3   &+$ +;   3+ 3 & + -    && &+ +2   !""5   : & $   2 & & &   &+   1 & * $ ) - 3 &       2  * ' &   &+   *&    && I : 2  + &  &&  '  & ''3 I : &    *' 2 I
 &-  +'  '  &    *' &  && + &  1 & .  2  ' & - &  ,' && & +& & J 
                                                      *&+ 3 3 E & :  K D +*7*     : :  !'( ;6 !""0 !&   2 D  <<5  C 2  +'' &  & & 3 ' & !0  <<5 && E 2 &  D &  E$ K 1 & -&'  '2  & -&  .$    <<# &  ;) &  * & +&      3  +$ 0   &      &  &3    &  & 2  K D   '3 &  ;)  &+''   & - &   7   + &+ 3 3$ :  & - 2 &  ,' &  & /5   2      *-$ E 4& ; *& L  0  !""  +- $  2   &  &   & ) & & &; D+ < =    > :! ? !  !  ! @      ;       A          @   !   ; ! ! ;  !      %E 5 ? ; C     -!""4 ( ;  '&  - 3  & G  ' 2&    &  3-  3 @<(A ?& @<<"A * @<<A ? @<<4A *&GL @<<<A  @!"""A$ > 21   ' 7    21 & +GK  &+2 & +; @!""0A ?     ; : :         !""4 ?GC     -@!""4A : & (    : &+7 '3 !""5   2       : @; !""( *&A  !   (  : &  (  -    ! 0BB/  ?(   ; !""(
4
  7 .3+ !"4"$ '  '& 3 & 21 &     .  - - &+&$  2 & +2  4 & ' & --7 ,' -   &  !"!"     &+1 '- & & 1$ +.  &+2 &  2  & &  &+ 2'   $ :   &-   & +3  '    8 &+ '$  +    1 &2& 3 2 2  +,' &   &+' &    27$
+2 &  && &  *  + &  1 3 & 8  '-$ >-1   & 1 3 H   &  & & 2# ' &  & &  && & ' M   2 N  &2 &   &  </"  ' &  2  2  3 && 2 & $  K     *   &1   & - &    *  & &  2 & 3 3 &  7$  8  3 '2  * ''    3   &     ' & 3 &&$
  &   & &+ 2  2   &&  .&+* +-. &+ 1   2 $ ;3   '2 & 7 &2   & &  &1 &  &+1 &   .$    2* &  3   *  1 G6   &  ,  ""4/-   &&   !""(B  '  2  ' & ' 21  B  !    &+  & ' 2     + &&$ : - & +1 -3     1 3 3   . &'*3   & &&$  3     * &  &    &  &- &  <<"    ' &+ 7 &+   1 2  &     & &&  7G6$$$
+2    &  &+ D    E 2   2 &+2$   +'   & 2 & 2    2   & 2  1    -   &  && 2 &   &+  '$
   &+    2$   & -*   & &  :& &    @:A   & C7<    -  3 3 '    &  $ +-. &    &   3   &+3-  @ !""G! :A$ )   O & !5 . <<4   & -*  3    2 -  ' & 3$   &+3- &  +   '3      2 &+ D G3 E & 1& &2 8 &'' .&+*   2$
3        $    &'    & 27 2 3  1 &2&  1 ' &    1 3 & 3 1$ 2'  D -* &    E  &  +'   & &+- &+ 3- & '    &   &2  -    2 & 3 &&$ :+ &  '3 3     N$
                                                     #;  & &   D )'*   E G $ ' )$ ?* K$  F : &+7 3 !""! O ' C PQ  G2 CR'  ;!""5 /:? K' '  :  * &7 P*' 2 !""4 <& & ! 9 <(#  
5
          
$%$ )  
 &-   ' 2  & &  7-3$        & ; *& ;  .  - &  &  2$ :   &+   3     '  &   &+  3      2 &  -   . & 2$
)1 &-   
$    +' &  D && E   & D  &+ E$  &1    & +  +      2    &  & 3     *'  & .  8  B  &  -'   "$ %+  3 +   I   + &' D   !;    E*73    & $    - & 7 3 + &    $   &   &+        + *1$  K +     &+ '  &' 1 3 &  & + &    2   &  &  2 3&$
!$ ; '  ' '    &  &'   2   2 &  - @C$0 &  $6 'MA$     ' N - &$   & D  E 2   2 3     * 3+ +' &+2 &    @A    &+ @   ' E +    3   $  DA$ D + E 2 & & +' DE$  '     & '      1 D 2 1  ,' && @   &+A E  3  &  - 3   '& - &+  7 &    -     &-$
$%0 &   $%0%$% (!        !!"# $# %&'# (# %)#"# (# % (*+#"("#  & & +38 )     & 1 & 2 &  &&   & /"    '  &  1 2 +,'$    2 &  && *S   7 H '  B  +13  &  &'3      & 2 $
                                                     "O     3 & ? 7(     )& !""!  !#4 :+  &    ) - !  3  - &  0  3  & 
(
 2 "-'' ':< 3"&
  (*+#"("#  )"# +#,# (),"-# -+#"!*# +*   ' &  &&   1  - &   & &   *73$   ,' &  ("   3 -    &$ ;      - &+ & *3  3  &+ & *$   + &  - 3 '  & 04  & 4  ' & ' & 3 &&$   &    & 3   ' /   "  +1 & ,* '$
*!)%,,! (# %#".)/,#  "#"", %#! +%)! (# 0 "!
)2 * &  &  ,' ; &   &  & ("  2  &@A#5   & & *3 05(    & * @    &A !#<   &T 1 &T@!A0     /( 2   #5  &  @0A4< - 2             D  ?:    E    E :  :    % $F (     G HF  ?  ;      ;% 0F        I% 6F             ?  I     I%  2 " :< 3DD $JJ5  $JJJ
) *         3 && B    +1 &    & ' N   &  2 3&$ +*           '& . &  2 N                                                         4 &  & 7 .  '&  & (44"""  *-'
#
      3  &  2 3&       +*-' +*7'  $   &'  &&    +      O% &  & & @2 0 A   &&    +   0 O%$
:       & &   &  &&    - &  $ 6 *  *3   + & ' &+2 1   &  &+& *'  $   & &  8   &1 2 & 3 &&   &     &  2$  - & ' &-   5 &+ '  + +2 &  &&   2 &   &-    1  K  +2 & - &  &&  2  ' ;( @5  &   <</  <<<A   &   '  @/"" """ A#$
) <<#  '  &  K  * &   &+ &  ,' & &   2 +;$ : '      &  &+2 3 ''3$ : '  &  +-2    &   & 1  &  2 /-  + &    & + &  $  &   '   D -H  E   '  & &  &  3 -   &   1 '<  ' (   '$ :  '     2 B '   8 *'   &  7  & 9     & ' G @A$
) !"" + &  '   N 2 ' @!0!G! :KA$  - & &  2    & 3 &G *' &+-   &+& &     &   $
$%0%0% (  ! 2     =  #! (11*#"#! (# ,,#-#", "(),#! + % 23# (&'#  & &   3+  H  *& 2   ("    1 &  '2$     2   &  2 !""5$   3-!"    &1 2  -   &    *&   &&  & N &    &+& & +;       3 +- &  &+&   - &  & &  ; & : & & @;:A &   T   '-  &    3 & & - @& * *3
                                                     5 2  &. &- 456 2 &  3   S  3 & &  &  /" @>;3    % &  & 2$  @4G( . </4A$   & >;A ( '   3 ' &  ' :2S 3   - &+& &  &+  & - 2 &1 : ' & && 7*3    & + & +&    - &+   - &  & $ #O :  & 21 & 2 &  &&   & ' G @A : :* L. 7 @)A  & & &   *' &  ,' && & )' &  ; U ( F . !"" /-'   *7' & +  &  + &  & <   &   * 2- & &   +2  & & ?  :  '*  & & 0 '   & - & $ )  &1   '  '     - &  @'A      7 & $ !";   73 2 1
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MA 13  3 & -   3 & & B     &  &+& & +;  &    &   B   ;:     &   -  !$ -   &T&      *'  -    2-   & *&  +-'        3 1  ,'     7 & @  VA &  *&  3   &+*'!!$       ' & & N &$  2 &   *'        *&   3    3  - & -     22   $ :  &  ' &  0"J &  & + 1 & *& @A  /(4  &  . !""($
#! 3'%#! ((# !%# 4 %5*2#'#-#", +) %#! +#!""#! &'*#! #, %#! +#!""#! 5"(+*#!
  22 -'   
; *& /(   >
>
; ,' (!   

: & 2  +&      +3  - &2 *&  5<  1  -'  &+ & *' 3   1    &2 *&  (   &  & 2    & +-'   &     @ - A    & 2   2    & -'  @3 .  A    3    2  1   3  - &  & 2 &  - $  D * E&+2 &   1   &+ 2   2  &+  &  +*' @2  2 &   & A
: &   &  &   & +,'$ 6  3 &2 *&  (     &   &  & &   &  *& -  2- 3+  &  *& 2 2 ("  @ 1A  8 3   &  *&   - &  2 8 1 $
 - &  & 2  &      $  3  : & . &   @:C:A &     &   & & 3 -3 3  & D E +GG&     3 - &  .&        8 .@A   - '$  2 &  & &     - &2 8 & $   & & & - ' 1 & $   '&  - &+,'  ("  H &-     .  & &     &   & *&$                                                      !  1 &   *'    2 & ""J @.3+ !     &  .      !0 <<5<4 A &   & $    & /"J$ !!C3+   G   3  - 2      * 3+ +' &  . &    &   3  2   *' & N 2  $   . &     '   &  3   3+     +& 2   &   *&$  2*    V * &  *&     2          2 3+     *' 2  $
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 #! "5*#"#! +) %#! +#!""#! 5"(+*#! .) $#%%!!#",  - &+,'  -3    *& 3 2   &  &+ *$  <<<  & !<" """  &  & ("  2    *&   :; @& :);A 2  ,'!0$    &'    ; ?   ?*& P!4   - 3   $ ; ' 1  -  & *&  '  & -1  '1     *& .3T   &T,' 1  (" $  -   ,' 3  1   ' 3  2 &  &  & 1 $   *& 3 ' +,'  &2  3   & 2 & 3   2  &  ' &$ :        2 & 3 *3        &  *&  7*3!5$ ) 8  ' &T&   2  W- &T,'W  1  ,' &  - &    & *&  (" $     2   & +,' &  & )  -   3+ &&  2  T 1 2 &    &  ,'M
 &  & 12 & *&   &  2 !""5    &  3  &    $     '  '  &  -  & *&  T,' &  3T !($ ) 8E   ; :    HE &    T,'$ ;  + /O &   &  2  !""5 2 3  & *& - 3&     ;) & '  2- &  & -   *&!#$  - '2 +1 &     - &  *& &  & (" $        &T ,'   &   ;: @1  ("   & & < &- !""5A!/$   &   ;:  3   *&    2  ,'$  + '   &  &T 2 $ ;  3T 2   ,'   13  ;:   - 2     & 2 &   * T;$    2 3  : )  + & ; & @:);A     EI                 E $
                                                     !0; *  C *S & U4#5 !""" $ #G !4; ?(   ;  & N !""( !5 :     ? D )   2   & & -  2 &G 1   7   K   &      &  &  2 -     T- & &$  3 &    *' T     &T&  2 X     .  8 *3  &T-  - 2 & .  *= 7*3 E$ !(  & ! .2 !""! 3    ' &T-  2 1  &G1       ; :      : :         KE !#: ' 2   3+       - 2 +,' & ("    -& &   X     &    &+ 1 &+ & /"J$ !/ 2 & & 8   + &  - &+,' 3 & T ' T  T :    ;  -   &T,'  T    2  ;:$
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