IPSOS : Evolution du moral économique dans le monde

IPSOS : Evolution du moral économique dans le monde

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« The Economic Pulse of the World » mesure chaque mois la perception de la situation économique dans plus de 20 pays à travers le monde. Les résultats de la vague de septembre 2013, issus du Global @dvisor, confirment le léger recul du pessimisme sur la situation économique nationale dans les pays les plus développés*. Entre novembre 2012 et septembre 2013, l’idée selon laquelle la situation économique est plutôt bonne progresse en effet de 6 points dans ces pays (à 33%).

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Publié le 23 octobre 2013
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Global @dvisor
The Economic Pulse of the World
Citizens in 24 Countries Assess the Current State of their
Country’s Economy for a Total Global Perspective
A Global @dvisory – September 2013 – G@49
The Economic Pulse These are the findings of the Global @dvisor Wave 49 (G@49),
rd than Ipsos survey conducted between September 3 to September 17 , 2013.
• The survey instrument is conducted monthly in 24 countries via the Ipsos Online Panel system.

• For the results of the survey herein, an total sample of 18,041 adults age 18-64 in the US and Canada, and age 16-64
rd thin all other countries, was interviewed between September 3 and September 17 2013.

• Approximately 1000+ individuals were surveyed in Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, Great Britain,
India, Italy, Japan, Spain, and the United States of America.

• Approximately 500+ individuals were surveyed in Argentina, Belgium, Hungary, Indonesia, Mexico, Poland, Russia,
Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Sweden and Turkey.

• Sample characteristics: the sample is made up of “Primary Consumers” who are a comparable, standardized
weighted group in each country based on a minimum level of education and income.

• For a majority of the countries surveyed the Primary Consumer population is also representative of the general
population based on the latest census. More details can be found at www.ipsosglobaladvisor.com

• The precision of Ipsos online polls are calculated using a credibility interval with a poll of 1,000 accurate to +/- 3.5
percentage points and of 500 accurate to +/- 5.0 percentage points.

For more information on the Ipsos use of credibility intervals, please visit the Ipsos website.
A Global @dvisory –September 2013 – G@49
2
The Economic Pulse Analytic Components…
 There are three analytic components that make up the findings of this monthly Economic Pulse report.
Each question is tracked and analyzed from questions dealing with:

The currently perceived macroeconomic state of
the respondent’s country:
• Thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current
economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat
bad or very bad?
 The currently perceived state of the local economy:
• Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7,
where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.
 A six month outlook for the local economy:
• Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local
area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or
much weaker than it is now?
A Global @dvisory – September 2013 – G@49
3
The Economic Pulse THE WORLD at a GLANCE
THE
WORLD
at a
GLANCE
A Global @dvisory –September 2013 – G@49
4
The Economic Pulse Modest Improvements in Developed Countries Yields
Cautious Optimism
 The global aggregate economic assessment of 24 countries finds itself in steady waters,
reflecting no change since last wave as 36% of global citizens agree their current national
economic situation is “good”,. This lack of movement reflects 24 countries (Norway removed
as it is no longer part of regular fieldwork in Global @dvisor for 2013).

 The story to tell this month is about the 15 traditionally more developed countries surveyed
regularly on Global @dvisor: Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Great
Britain, Hungary, Italy, Japan, Poland, South Korea, Spain, Sweden and the United States.

 Across 24 countries, the global aggregate assessment of national economies does not tell a
decisive story, one way or another. Across the 15 developed countries, however, a modestly
upward trend over the past 12 months inspires cautious optimism. The slight upturn began
nearly one year ago, in November 2012 at 27%. It then inched its way upward to 33% this
sounding. An 11-month upward trend is promising and it will be interesting to see next month if
the 12-month mark achieves a full year of positive growth for these 15 developed countries.

Total % “Good”: 15 Countries
34% 33% 33% 33% 34% 32% 32% 31% 31% 30% 30% 30% 30% 31% 29% 29% 29% 29% 30% 30% 30% 29% 29% 32% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 27% 27%
A Global @dvisory – September 2013 – G@49
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The Economic Pulse DETAILED FINDINGS
A Global @dvisory –September 2013 – G@49
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The Economic Pulse  Assessing The Current Economic
Situation …
…in Their Country
Detailed Tables B.3
A Global @dvisory –September 2013 – G@49
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The Economic Pulse Global Citizens Assess the Current Economic Situation in their
Country as “Good”
‘Very Good / Somewhat Good’
36%
87%
71%
69%
64%
62%
61%
46%
40%
36%
33%
31%
31%
31%
30%
24%
24%
23%
21%
20%
20%
14%
8%
6%
6%
Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic
situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad? A Global @dvisory –September 2013 – G@49
8
The Economic Pulse Global Average Tracked - Global Citizens Assess the Current
3 Economic Situation in their Country as “Good”:…
Total Good
56% 55%
45%
42% 41% 41% 41% 41% 41% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 39% 39% 39% 39% 39% 39% 39% 39% 39% 38% 38% 38% 38% 38% 38% 38% 38% 38% 37% 37% 37% 37% 37% 36% 36% 36% 36% 36% 36% 36% 35% 32%
29%
Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]?
Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?
A Global @dvisory –September 2013 – G@49
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The Economic Pulse For All Countries Tracked: Citizens Assess the
Current Economic Situation in their Country as “Good”
Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]?
Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?
Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
‘1 1 ‘1 1 ‘1 1 ‘1 1 ‘1 1 ‘1 1 ‘1 1 ‘1 1 ‘1 1 ‘1 1 ‘1 1 ‘1 2 ‘1 2 ‘1 2 ‘1 2 ‘1 2 ‘1 2 ’1 2 ’1 2 ’1 2 ‘1 2 ‘1 2 ‘1 2 ‘1 3 ‘1 3 ‘1 3 ‘1 3 ‘1 3 ‘1 3 ‘1 3 ‘1 3 ‘1 3
36% 33% 37% 40% 37% 30% 31% 26% 28% 27% 31% Argentina 41% 43% 46% 46% 47% 50% 50% 59% 54% 55% 52% 55% 47% 51% 38% 45% 34% 37% 34% 36% 25%
63% 59% 59% 57% 62% 57% 57% 56% 62% Australia 72% 70% 70% 73% 66% 64% 56% 61% 62% 67% 68% 70% 66% 62% 64% 61% 61% 58% 59% 62% 61% 61% 54%
Belgium 39% 36% 41% 40% 42% 41% 37% 31% 25% 24% 19% 22% 16% 24% 21% 28% 29% 34% 35% 36% 28% 15% 21% 27% 25% 25% 29% 27% 27% 37% 38% 36%
57% 51% 55% 52% 47% 48% 42% 35% 26% 28% 30% Brazil 61% 53% 52% 51% 51% 53% 52% 55% 55% 59% 56% 62% 63% 54% 59% 49% 52% 58% 51% 56% 42%
66% 66% 65% 65% 59% 66% 65% 66% 64% Canada 68% 64% 68% 69% 69% 72% 73% 66% 66% 62% 63% 65% 65% 64% 62% 62% 62% 63% 65% 66% 68% 64% 63%
China 73% 67% 75% 68% 68% 66% 61% 65% 65% 62% 55% 64% 72% 71% 62% 63% 60% 67% 53% 58% 63% 63% 64% 68% 69% 72% 64% 66% 59% 66% 62% 61%
6% 5% 7% 5% 7% 6% 5% 3% 5% 6% 9% 8% France 10% 10% 8% 11% 12% 8% 12% 7% 6% 7% 5% 6% 7% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 9% 6%
63% 65% 64% 64% 67% 66% 69% 67% 69% Germany 64% 62% 67% 68% 68% 71% 66% 63% 64% 64% 61% 70% 71% 68% 68% 69% 66% 68% 69% 68% 60% 63% 62%
Great Britain 12% 8% 10% 15% 13% 10% 11% 17% 11% 10% 8% 13% 10% 14% 12% 10% 12% 11% 14% 14% 15% 17% 13% 13% 16% 12% 13% 21% 19% 23% 24% 24%
4% 3% 5% 8% 6% 6% 7% 10% 12% 11% 14% Hungary 5% 3% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 4% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 3% 5% 4% 13%
68% 60% 65% 63% 66% 60% 53% 54% 40% India 77% 73% 76% 73% 71% 62% 69% 69% 75% 69% 68% 65% 74% 79% 72% 70% 58% 60% 68% 58% 58% 60% 62%
Indonesia 38% 40% 46% 47% 40% 41% 36% 42% 35% 50% 46% 45% 40% 35% 36% 40% 41% 40% 46% 40% 46% 52% 50% 53% 53% 45% 48% 41% 44% 42% 53% 31%
6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 6% 5% 8% 6% Italy 14% 12% 10% 14% 10% 10% 8% 8% 8% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 5% 3% 3% 4% 5% 6%
6% 9% 16% 17% 20% 18% 21% 21% 24% Japan 8% 8% 7% 9% 8% 8% 6% 8% 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 9% 8% 9% 9% 7% 11% 11% 9% 7% 27%
Mexico 33% 22% 25% 27% 29% 34% 33% 25% 28% 32% 30% 24% 29% 31% 33% 28% 28% 32% 29% 34% 32% 39% 35% 38% 32% 31% 29% 31% 31% 28% 30% 23%
21% 18% 20% 17% 19% 15% 19% 16% 16% 20% 23% 20% Poland 29% 19% 23% 22% 20% 24% 28% 27% 30% 28% 27% 27% 21% 27% 25% 25% 28% 33% 22% 19%
26% 24% 31% 27% 33% 31% 34% 30% 31% Russia 25% 26% 26% 26% 29% 25% 26% 27% 23% 25% 30% 30% 28% 33% 33% 36% 33% 29% 28% 31% 27% 29% 30%
Saudi Arabia 81% 85% 87% 89% 89% 87% 88% 89% 83% 89% 86% 86% 90% 89% 88% 88% 83% 85% 84% 80% 79% 79% 82% 86% 85% 80% 80% 81% 85% 84% 82% 87%
26% 22% 22% 33% 20% 19% 23% 31% 19% 20% 25% 21% South Africa 45% 40% 41% 43% 42% 38% 39% 34% 39% 32% 32% 42% 40% 36% 35% 33% 38% 39% 38% 31%
15% 16% 21% 20% 14% 18% 17% 20% 20% South Korea 38% 22% 25% 29% 27% 27% 18% 21% 18% 26% 21% 17% 17% 20% 22% 20% 21% 18% 17% 24% 16% 15% 17%
Spain 6% 6% 8% 6% 6% 7% 6% 3% 5% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% 4% 5% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 6%
72% 69% 57% 73% 69% 73% 70% 71% 76% 70% 71% Sweden 80% 71% 78% 76% 76% 77% 70% 74% 69% 73% 74% 72% 73% 70% 71% 64% 75% 71% 81% 65% 72%
47% 48% 51% 53% 55% 50% 47% 46% 46% Turkey 47% 43% 49% 50% 51% 57% 48% 61% 59% 54% 58% 55% 58% 58% 51% 49% 51% 51% 56% 50% 44% 48% 48%
United States 20% 19% 17% 23% 19% 19% 14% 15% 14% 19% 21% 21% 19% 22% 27% 23% 26% 25% 28% 26% 24% 28% 31% 29% 32% 31% 31% 33% 31% 33% 34% 33%
A Global @dvisory –September 2013 – G@49
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The Economic Pulse