La sortie de la Grande-Bretagne de l

La sortie de la Grande-Bretagne de l'UE en tête dans l'opinion

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Description

43% des Britanniques interrogés souhaitent la sortie de la Grande-Bretagne de l'UE. Un référendum sur cette question doit avoir lieu avant la fin 2017.

Sujets

Informations

Publié par
Publié le 08 septembre 2015
Nombre de visites sur la page 3
Langue Français
Signaler un problème

Issues
Poll










Methodology


175
100.0%

134
100.0%

382
100.0%

145
100.0%

144
100.0%

302
100.0%

5
2.3%

Remain

166
100.0%

EU Referendum

-
-

-
-

2
1.0%

2
0.7%

1
1.3%

-
-

-
.-3%

1
*

3
0.7%

-
-

-
-

-
-

2
1.4%

-
-

-
-

238 330 86787 50392 387
10.0100.0% 100.0%100.0%% 100.0%100.0% 100.0%

1
*

2
*

-
-

9
2.2%

1
7*%

1
*

1
2.1%

1
2.8%

1
0.

4 5
0.9% % 1.2

3
1.1%

1
*

-
-

411 41
1.2% 1.3%1.1%

2
1.7%

4

6

Page 4

7

5

LAB

CON

Age

LD

55+

35-54

1

SIGMA

0 - would not vote

OTHER Undecided

CON

LAB

4
3.7%

20
17.8%

1
2.0%

-
2.4%

1
2.9%

50
5.8%

2
2.3%

10 15
4.0% .4% 4

26
10.9%

3
3.5%

2
2.0%

20
6.6%

8
5.9%

Voting Intention

Table 1
Q1. Normal weightings
Q1. If there were to be anothergeneral election, on a scale of 0-10, where 10 is certain, how likelywouldyou be to vote?
Base: All Respondents

UKIP

Preparedby Survation on behalf of Mail on Sunday

429
361
275
76.2%

366
354
222
62.7%

126 79114 310251
115 92107 313258
72 6845 227169
63.0% 4.37%41.9% 72.5%65.5% 75.4%

51
47
34
71.8%

267
272
167
61.6%

311
320
228
71.1%

-
-

8 1743
3.2% %5.2 4.9%

7
6.2%

1
1.4%

16
11.9%

6
3.3%

11
4.7%

10
6.2%

13
3.3%

9
2.4%

9
5.9%

19
5.1%

15
3.9%

23
6.0%

15
7.7%

361
100.0%

354
100.0%

17
4.3%

16
4.0%

-
-

272 47 115 92107 313258
100.0% 10.0100.0% 100.0%100.0% 100.0%% 100.0% 100.0%

320
100.0%

3
0.9%

1
*

2
0.6%

3
1.2%

20
7.0%

27
9.2%

6
9.6%

17 14
% 5.35.3%

11
9.9%

3
3.3%

5
4.8%

4
3.8%

2015 Past Vote

LD

North

158
166
105
60.6%

SEG

Region6 + 1

2
0.6%

40
10.3%

1
*

-
-

3
0.9%

-
-

516
100.0%

289
100.0%

1004
100.0%

488
100.0%

-
-

1
0.6%

1
1.3%

-
-

1
*

67 106 83
100.0% 100.0%100.0%

6
42.0%

6
*

2
1.2%

2
1.9%

3
0.7%

1
1.3%

30
10.5%

26
9.2%

28
9.8%

30
6.1%

38
7.4%

464
488
307
63.0%

209
289
123
42.6%

540
516
313
60.6%

38
3.8%

54
5.3%

10
1.9%

4
0.9%

100
10.0%

68
6.8%

5
0.5%

13
1.3%

14
1.4%

9
3.0%

7
2.4%

2
*

11
2.1%

12
3.6%

2
1.8%

1
1.8%

3
% 2.9

-
-

36
4.1%

34
8.5%

28
8.6%

85
9.8%

4
5.0%

3
6.8%

60
6.9%

6
12.3%

9
10.3%

19
11.5%

18
12.2%

12
%9.1

15 25
6.5%7.4%

36
13.8%

27
8.7%

10 2
10.5% 2.2%

18
7.1%

26
3% 8.

9
8.3%

5
5.4%

18-34

Gender

1004
1004
620
61.8%

Female

Male

Total

10
3.4%

22
15.4%

2
2.2%

19
6.2%

5
4.5%

5
-4.7%

13
8.8%

2
2.7%

25
9.1%

3
7.0%

27
7.7%

22
6.8%

10
2.9%

41
11.4%

6
12.2%

26
6.8%

38
10.0%

1
1.8%

5
8.1%

17
15.9%

7
5.2%

29
9.5%

5
6.3%

23
7.5%

12
8.3%

4
5.1%

4
3.7%

12
8.0%

8
4.4%

16
9.0%

6
3.6%

14
10.6%

Unweighted Total
Weighted Total
10 - certain to vote

9

14
4.0%

11
3.0%

21
6.6%

6
1.9%

4 Sep 2015

8

11
4.2%

2
4.3%

Page 4

2
4.7%

1
*

-

8
2.2%

11
3.0%

-

11
3.9%

17
4.7%

12
3.7%

13
4.7%

33
9.2%

38
14.1%

22
6.8%

-
-

-
-

-
-6%

-
-

101
1.7.0%

*

2
1.6%

-
-

1

5
2.8%

-
-

-
-

1
0.9%

1
1.8%

2
0.5%

1
* 0.9% 0.9%

14
4.2%

37
4.3%

2
2.4%

4
8.7%

2
0.8%

-
-

2
0.7%

5
1.5%

-
-

1
*

1
*

2
0.6%

2
*

5
1.4%

-
-

1
1.9%

-
-

17
.41.%9%

6
25.7%

137
1.4%

2

3

14
6.9%

14
3.6%

-
-

-
-

17
4.9%

10
2.8%

-
-

Did Not
Vote

C1

9
4.4%

14
3.6%

Other

119
106
73
77.3%

AB

73
83
64
15.1%

144
144
22
60.1%

75
67
51
68.4%

UKIP

325
302
182
66.2%

5
3.7%

5
3.0%

9
6.7%

13
9.0%

9
5.5%

13
7.4%

1
0.9%

8
4.6%

-
-

-
-

4
3.4%

-
-

-
-

2
1.8%

2
1.5%

1
1.4%

22
10.9%

13
3.3%

15
7.9%

45
11.5%

Issues Poll
Prepared on behalf of Mail on Sunday

85 52
87 50
62 30
60.2%60.9%170%.

264 330 867
238 330 867
144 209 528
63.4% 60.9%71.7%

South England Scotland

Wales

-

6
3.5%

11
0.7%.2% 4

7 11
6.7%

3
3.8%

-

5
4.6%

20 2
18.6%

2
*

-
-

25
4.8%

43
4.3%

19
3.8%

16
5.5%

3
*

1
*

2
*

2
0.7%

3
0.6%

2.5%

-

-

-

1
0.6%

3

6 102
1.7% 1.2%

41
7.9%

60
12.2%

-

-

5

1

5
1.4%

4
1.9%

197

1

*

*

1

3

4
2.7%

8
5.74%

13
7.2%

4
2.2%

16
6.7%

14
2.8%

25
4.8%

3
7%1.

*

-
0.9%

C2

9 1
2.3% 2.4%

DE London Midlands

376
382
253
.25%5

159
175
106
52.0%

115
134
70
63.3%

144
145
80
60.5%

-
-

1
*

4
2.9%

1
0.8%

-
-

-
-

7
2.4%

*
*

26
5.3%

28
5.4%

21
4.1%

45
4.5%

24
4.9%

393 384
392 387
239272
55.1%

Undecided

191
197
108

Leave

2
2..2%

20
6.6%

-

*
2.1%

84
0.758%.9%

1
1.4%

30
28.4%

10
9.2%

2
2.0%

9 5
84.12.%9%14.5%

-
-

-
-

-

-
-

35
4.2%

13
4.2%

* 229
0.8% 5.7%.3%2

-
16.8%

-

-

9
4.2%

4
5.2%

4
0.8%

107
11.1%

41
8.8%

1
*

3
0.7%

7
0.8%

65
13.3%

33
12.0%

2
0.5%

2
*

4
*

-
-

-
-

1
*

*
*

-
-

*
*

-
-

-
-

1
*

1
*

1
*

1
*

10
7.6%

6
3.7%

18
4.9%

4
2.7%

22
4.4%

47
4.9%

11
8.7%

24
17.8%

26
15.8%

56
34.6%

101
27.7%

31
22.6%

35
9.5%

31
23.6%

122
26.0%

Male

73
15.6%

115
12.0%

272
28.3%

150
30.5%

42
8.6%

26
5.5%

Gender

513
492
161
32.8%

Female

SEG

443
469
159
33.9%

196
273
75
27.4%

956
961
320
33.3%

Total

18-34

DE London Midlands

147
162
55
41.9%

111
130
57
35.2%

361
366
36
26.7%

C2

313
297
133
36.4%

135
136
26
16.2%

251 74
258 66
12 11
3.67%.9%110.1%

119
106
1
0.9%

72
82
20
19.0%

UKIP

Other

LD

C1

2015 Past Vote

AB

Did Not
Vote

100
107
125
42.0%

-
-

-
-

2
3.0%

-
-

1
0.5%

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

21
6.5%

7
3.1%

3
3.0%

43
5.1%

2 32
4.5%.5% 8

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

1
*

-
-

35
33.1%

6
6.9%

3
6.9%

29
12.9%

39 1075
12.5%12.8% 6.5%

2
0.5%

-
-

-
-

-
-

19
6.5%

-
-

10 6
8.2% %15.53.3%

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

Page 5

4 Sep 2015

8
0.8%

24
4.9%

15
3.2%

39
4.1%

3
0.6%

4
1.0%

5
1.4%

-
-

32
9.0%

42
12.5%

-
-

193

3

3

*
0.7%

-
*

1
1.6%

31
8.1%

34
9.0%

40
20.8%

1
*

-
-

-
-

-
-

2
1.3%

1
*

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

4
-

-
-

-
*

2

-

1 35
0.6%

2
-7%

-
53.4%

3

North

Wales

South England Scotland

-
-

-
-

45
53.3%

93 68244 1315 145
4%2.0 21.6%29.3% 15.6% 33.5%37.9% 22.0%

6
1.7%

20
4.0%

10
5.1%

* 189
0.8% 4.7%

15
-

6
2.3% 3.3%

Remain

EU Referendum

*
*

-
-

-
-

297
100.0%

107
100.0%

-
-

-
-

130
100.0%

162
100.0%

136
100.0%

366
100.0%

222 316 83085 46383 382
10.0100.0% 100.0%% 100.0%100.0%100.0% 100.0%

162
100.0%

51
31.6%

27
16.6%

-
-

5
3.3%

492
100.0%

30
10.3%

Table 2
Q2. Normal weightings
Q2. If there was a General Election taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from allpoliticalparties standinginyour constituency, whichpartydoyou thinkyou would vote for?
Base: Likelyto Vote

84
28.3%

Region6 + 1

Preparedby Survation on behalf of Mail on Sunday

469
100.0%

961
100.0%

Unweighted Total
Weighted Total
Conservative

33
3.5%

English Democrats

45
4.7%

Scottish National Party (SNP)

-
-

21
4.2%

25
5.2%

Page 5

-
-

-
-

-
-

*
*

-
-

-
-

-

39
-

3
47.3%

Age

-
-

*
*

-
-

-
1.1%

79
92
-
-

51
47
-
-

126
115
-
-

LAB

Voting Intention

*
*

1
*

-
-

*
*

10
3.3%

8
3.5%

4
5.2%

29
3.4%

7
15.1%

6
4.4%

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

*
*

7
1.0%

66 106 82
100.0% 100.0%100.0%

4
1.5%

-
-

*
*

-
-

13
2.8%

20
4.1%

273
100.0%

337
100.0%

351
100.0%

320
100.0%

-
-

14
8.5%

2
1.7%

4
.5.37%%

7
25.2%

9
.21.4%%

17
4.38%

12
8.6%

7
4.3%

-
-

-
-

-

8
4.7%

6
3.7%

4
3.3%

6
4.6%

7
4.1%

6
28.1%

16
4.15%

-

23
*

1
0.9%

*

33
36.1%

-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

45
49.0%

1
1.4%

-
-

1

1
*

21
6.3%

20
7.2%

-
-

21
5.9%

106
38.9%

13
4.7%

-
-

47
100.0%

267
272
-
-

18
6.4%

12
3.4%

4
1.2%

-
-

-
-

23
8.3%

272 47 115 92107 313258
100.0% 10.0100.0% 100.0%100.0% 100.0%% 100.0% 100.0%

21
4.5%

2
0.5%

3
1.1%

1

26
1.3%

-

6
31.71%

-
-

-
-

6
7.6%

-

*

-
-

414
351
142
40.6%

346
337
103
30.6%

LAB

CON

55+

35-54

LD

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

12
3.6%

-
-

-

*

4
4.5%

-
-

1
0.6%

-
-

1
1.1%

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

1
*

1
*

-
-

2
0.7%*

0.

-
- 8%

-
-

-
-

1
0.6%

-
-

-
-

-
-

8
2.3%

5
1.3%

41
12.2%

74
21.1%

92
27.2%

18
5.2%

-
-

-
-

16
4.8%

-
-

-
-

272
100.0%

-

-
-

2
-

54
15.5%

22
10.1%

1
0.60.8%

-
- 1.0%

3
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-

-

-

-

6 217
1.9%

-

-

-

14

-

6
1.9%

-

-

115
100.0%

-

-

-
-

-

42 964
1%3.411.5%4.7%

%

100
26.1%

9
4.7%

6
1.5%

9
4.7%

1
*

1
*

-
-

-
-

2
1.8%

-
-

2
0.6%

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-

-
-

-

311
320
320
100.0%

1

2

-
1.2%

4
0.8%

8
*

5.2%

9
4.6%

84
21.4%

41

Another Party (Net)

107 14
100.0%

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

187
193

Leave

154 247314 82682 48386 380
162 222316 83085 46383 382
60 129301 1010 12512570
02%7. 40.8% 36.2%11.7% 21.3%32.6% 32.8%36.1%

UKIP

Undecided

Labour

Liberal Democrat

Refused

Undecided

SIGMA

Respect

National Health Action (NHA)

Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition
(TUSC)

Issues Poll
Prepared on behalf of Mail on Sunday

9
6.4%

7
4.1%

4
3.3%

17
4.8%

3
2.3%

2
1.0%

3
0.8%

-
-

-
-

-
-

4

-

-
-

8
8.3%

-
-

39
42.7%

-
-

3

4
2.3%

3
1.0%

-

-
-

*

29
17.9%

*
*

-
-

41
11.3%

17
12.6%

114 310
107 313
- 2669
- 85.0%

17
13.2%

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

OTHER Undecided

CON

Green

9 5
84.82.%8%14.3%

Table 3
Q2. Normal weightings & likelihood to vote
Q2. If there was a General Election taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from allpoliticalparties standinginyour constituency, whichpartydoyou thinkyou would vote for?
Base: Likelyto Vote

-

-

3

-

2 38
0.6%

21
7.1%

-
55.2%

1
-7%

3
13..3%

1
1.5%

26
33.5%

2
2.1%

*
1.9%

88
0.769.%7%

7
8.7%

1
*

25
10.2%

4
0.9%

8
0.8%

89
9.3%

35
7.4%

54
11.0%

1
*

1
*

-
-

1
*

-
-

1
*

* 239
0.8% 5.9%.3%2

5
5.6%

36
4.3%

13
4.2%

-
-

-
-

10
4.3%

-
-

-

-
17.4%

4
0.8%

Page 6

41
4.3%

16
3.4%

25
5.2%

8
0.8%

27
7.0%

185

4 Sep 2015

3

-
-

-
-

5
1.0%

3
0.6%

-
-

34
10.0%

-
-

2
0.6%

30
7.9%

-
-

5
1.4%

-
-

1
*

-
-

-
-

2
1.5%

-
-

1
*

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

1
0.8%

-

31
16.6%

31
7.8%

1
1.8%

-
*

3

-
-

-
*

3

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

3
3.2%

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

1
0.6%

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

22
29.0%

5
5.7%

-
-

10 4
7.4%14.3.79%%

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

16
5.6%

41 1076
1%2.9 12.9%7.0%

30
13.3%

22
6.9%

3
7.7%

8
3.4%

45
5.4%

3
3.3%

-
-

1
*

2 34
5.1%.1% 9

6
1.6%

9
4.9%

86
23.2%

43

8
4.5%

103
26.2%

8
*

5
0.6%

-
1.3%

9
5.1%

1

2

5.9%

35-54
346
338
107
31.6%

5
327.3%

37 823
11.7% 9%9.3.1%

19
8.5%

3
-

%

2
0.70.9%

-
- 1.1%

-

-

-

6
1.8%

-

-

-

-

-

15

-

116
100.0%

-

-

-

-

6 224
1.8%

-
-

1
*

3
2.1%

-
-

-

-

-
-

-
-

-
-

1
*

2
0.6%

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

19
5.0%

8
6.3%

5
3.9%

7
4.2%

-

-
-

20
5.3%

-
-

17
5.1%

-
-

274
100.0%

-
-

-
-

58
15.5%

41
12.2%

79
21.2%

94
27.9%

0.

-
-

-
- 9%

3
-

-
-

-
-

1
*

1
*

-
-

2
0.07.5%%

-
-

1
0.7%

-
-

-
-

-
-

8
2.3%

-
-

13
3.7%

-
-

-
-

5
1.4%

-
-

-
-

-
-

1
0.6%

-
-

-
-

-
-

1
1.2%

-

*

4
4.6%

7
7.5%

-
-

-
-

*

28
1.3%

-

1

-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

89 15
100.0%

-
-

Green

Another Party (Net)

Plaid Cymru

55+ CON LAB LD UKIPOTHER UndecidedCON LABLD UKIP
414 311 26751 126 79114 310251 74
374 327 27450 116 9689 328264 70
154 327- - - -- 27910 12 12
41.3%100.0%-----85.1%3.96%.8%110.8%

4
2.5%

3
1.2%

16
11.6%

21
13.4%

36
9.5%

16
12.8%

5

3

-
-

*
*

-
-

-
-

-
-

8
8.2%

-

*

-
-

41
42.9%

-

-
-

3
0.7%

-
-

2
1.2%

3
2.6%

Issues Poll
Prepared on behalf of Mail on Sunday

Respect

Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition
(TUSC)

National Health Action (NHA)

Liberal Democrat

Labour

Refused

SIGMA

Undecided

DE London MidlandsNorth SouthEngland ScotlandWales Remain Leave Udnecided
135 147 111154 247314 82682 48386 380
134 159 125162 223317 82888 45381 393
29 5358 61133 30611 10127 13269
18.3%42.7%36.0%427%.41.9%37.0%12.6%22.5%33.3%33.5%37.3%

187
185

UKIP

9
.20.3%%

7
26.5%

4
.65.7%%

2
1.9%

10
6.2%

-
-

-
-

6
4.0%

8
5.1%

-

-
-

-
-

8
4.9%

11
8.3%

19
5.31%

159
100.0%

134
100.0%

162
100.0%

125
100.0%

223 317 82888
10.0100.0%100.0% 100.0%% 100.0%

*
*

-
-

-
-

77
100.0%

-
-

376
100.0%

291
100.0%

54
33.5%

5
3.1%

-
-

-
-

26
16.1%

45 381393
100.0% 100.0%

* 199
0.8% 4.9%

15
-

21
3.8%

EU Referendum

7
2.3% 3.6%

95 68245 1317 144
42%.421.3%29.6%14.9%36.4%37.9%21.7%

47
53.6%

-
-

11
5.4%

5
1.3%

-
-

*
*

-
-

-

41
-

-
-

-
1.0%

20
4.7%

274 50 116 9689 328264
100.0% 10.0% 100.0% 100.0%100.0% 100.0%100.0% 100.0%

-
-

23
9.4%

18
7.2%

12
3.5%

2
0.5%

2
1.0%

-
-

50
100.0%

5
1.3%

-
-

-
-

-
-

17
6.9%

13
5.1%

101
40.5%

47
48.9%

1

1
*

1
1.5%

-
-

-
-

22
6.0%

22
6.5%

-

1
1.0%

-
-

35
36.0%

-
-

-
-

-
-

7
4.2%

5
3.9%

18
4.17%

6
4.2%

25
*

5
29.1%

*

-

14
2.9%

35
3.6%

249
100.0%

21
4.2%

338
100.0%

374
100.0%

327
100.0%

70
100.0%

110 86
100.0% 100.0%

4
1.8%

-
-

*
*

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

*
*

-
-

4
8.9%

7
1.1%

-
-

-
-

5
4.5%

*
*

*
*

-
-

-
-

5
5.6%

29
3.5%

4
-

1
*

10
3.2%

8
3.5%

Age

2
48.0%

Voting Intention

20
4.2%

-
-

-
-

*
*

-
-

-
-

Page 6

Region6 + 1

83
28.5%

29
10.0%

485
100.0%

English Democrats

27
5.6%

47
4.9%

Scottish National Party (SNP)

Unweighted Total
Weighted Total
Conservative

AB
100
77
123
42.1%

476
100.0%

961
100.0%

Preparedby Survation on behalf of Mail on Sunday

956
961
327
34.1%

Gender

Male
443
476
163
34.3%

Total

Female
513
485
164
33.8%

18-34
196
249
66
26.6%

42
8.7%

50
5.2%

27
5.7%

23
4.7%

116
12.1%

150
31.0%

124
26.1%

274
28.5%

74
15.6%

2015 Past Vote

Did Not
Vote
72
86
13
16.6%

Other
119
110
1
1.0%

C2
361
376
37
27.4%

SEG

C1
313
291
139
36.9%

2
*

4
*

-
-

*
*

-
-

*
*

-
-

1
*

3
0.6%

28
22.4%

30
22.5%

57
35.7%

6
3.8%

4
3.0%

10
8.3%

19
5.2%

26
16.0%

10
7.9%

24
18.1%

104
27.7%

37
10.0%

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

*
*

%

3
-

-
-

-
- 1.0%

-
-

1
0.7%

-
-

2
0.80.6%

-
-

1
1.2%

4
4.6%

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition
(TUSC)

1
*

-
-

1
*

-
-

*
*

-
-

41 1076
81%4. 14.5%7.2%

3
8.5%

30
14.6%

45
6.1%

8
3.7%

3
3.4%

22
7.9%

-

-
-

15

6 224
1.8%

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

116
100.0%

-

-

-

-

2 34
5.6%.8% 9

-

-

6
1.9%

43

86
28.4%

6
1.8%

9
6.0%

8
5.6%

*
*

1
*

-
-

*
*

-
-

-
-

1
*

7
2.6% 4.4%

Respect

1

2

9
6.3%

5
0.8%

7.3%

8
0.5%

103
28.7%

-
1.4%

35-54
292
302
107
35.3%

SIGMA

English Democrats

10
9.7%

5
1.5%

13
4.2%

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

30
25.6%

19
5.7%

104
30.6%

57
42.5%

6
4.5%

4
3.3%

28
26.2%

-
-

-
-

20
5.9%

79
23.4%

274
100.0%

17
5.7%

94
31.2%

-
-

-
-

-
-

58
17.1%

41
13.7%

8
2.6%

-
-

2 38
0.7%

9 5
91.75%.0% 14.4%

26
47.1%

1
1.6%

-

21
7.6%

-
64.7%

3
14..6%

1
-8%

-
-

8
8.2%

-
-

-
-

3

-
-

-
-

-

5

41
42.9%

-

*

CON LABLD UKIP
294 22761 113
313 24459 106
279 1012 12
89.2% 4.2%9.7%1 11.3%

55+ CON LAB LD UKIPOTHER Undecided
371 311 26751 126
79339 327 27450 116
96154 327- - -
-45.5% 100.0%- - -
-

Plaid Cymru

Another Party (Net)

-
-

4
-

Green

-
-

-

3

-
*

1
*

-
-

-
-

-
-

2
1.8%

143
151
69

UKIP

Liberal Democrat

-
-

-
-

-
-

151

Labour

*
*

*
*

-
-

*
*

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

*
*

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

*
*

-
-

2
0.6%

-
-

-
-

-
-

1
*

-
-

-
-

3
2.3%

3
3.4%

-
-

Issues Poll
Prepared on behalf of Mail on Sunday

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

EU Referendum

* 199
0.9% 5.3%

-
-

-
-

274 50 116 96
100.0% 10.0% 100.0% 100.0%

59
100.0%

-
-

-
-

-
-

5
1.4%

12
4.0%

1
0.5%

1
*

-
-

-
-

223
100.0%

302
100.0%

339
100.0%

327
100.0%

21
4.8%

18
8.0%

35
4.0%

14
3.2%

National Health Action (NHA)

4
0.5%

2
*

29
4.0%

5
5.8%

1
*

1
*

-
-

-
-

1
*

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

1
*

4
2.0%

3
0.6%

*

2
0.5%

1
1.0%

-

4
.9.74%%

5
30.9%

25
*

-

7
5.0%

6
4.8%

18
5.12%

-
-

10
3.6%

8
3.9%

6
4.3%

5
4.6%

-
-

-
-

-
-

1
0.6%

313
100.0%

-
-

-
-

244
100.0%

-
-

-
-

-
-

35
36.0%

1
0.6%

-
-

Unweighted Total
Weighted Total
Conservative

Preparedby Survation on behalf of Mail on Sunday

Page 7

Table 4
Q2. Normal weightings & likelihood to vote, with undecided and refused removed
Q2. If there was a General Election taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from allpoliticalparties standinginyour constituency, whichpartydoyou thinkyou would vote for?
Base: Likelyto Vote

Region6 + 1

20
4.7%

47
5.4%

27
6.1%

864
100.0%

437
100.0%

427
100.0%

95 68245 1317 144
46%.724.4%33.1%15.4%40.5%41.0%23.8%

5
1.4%

11
6.0%

21
4.1%

15
-

37
11.0%

24
20.5%

26
19.0%

10
9.3%

26
17.2%

5
3.3%

54
35.7%

83
30.6%

29
10.8%

7
12.2%

2
2.3%

88
0.872.%9%

*
2.0%

5
4.7%

Voting Intention

Age

-
-

50
100.0%

-
-

2
1.1%

23
10.5%

101
45.2%

13
5.7%

-
-

-
-

1
*

1

17
7.7%

22
7.3%

22
6.6%

Scottish National Party (SNP)

47
48.9%

-
-

-
-

Total

Male
397
437
163
37.4%

Female
437
427
164
38.3%

834
864
327
37.9%

Gender

18-34
171
223
66
29.8%

50
5.8%

23
5.3%

274
31.7%

42
9.9%

150
35.1%

27
6.2%

124
28.4%

116
13.5%

74
17.0%

2015 Past Vote

C2 DELondon MidlandsNorth SouthEngland ScotlandWales Remain Leave Udnecided
121 11795 139217 268 71975 40349 340
118 134 107152 203276 73885 41352 359
37 29 5358 61133 30611 10127 132
31.1%21.7%50.2%38.4%230%.48.1%41.5%13.0%25.0%36.0%36.6%45.7%

SEG

C1
316
340
139
40.8%

AB
280
271
123
45.2%

Did Not
Other Vote
66 68
81 54
1 13
1.0% 23.4%

-
-

-
-

11
9.4%

8
5.8%

19
5.37%

5
4.6%

19
5.5%

7
5.0%

8
7.1%

2
1.4%

-
-

3
2.9%

-
-

3
0.7%

* 239
0.9% 6.4%2.6%

-

5
5.8%

-
-

-
-

-

-
-

-

-

-
19.4%

8
5.4%

*

-

10
4.7%

36
4.9%

13
4.8%

*

-

28
1.4%

-
-

41
-

9
.3.33%%

7
92.7%

-
-

2
51.0%

5
3.4.43%

-
1.1%

-

1
1.6%

1

-

-

3

7
8.0%

-
-

-
-

25
5.9%

41
4.8%

16
3.7%

3
0.7%

8
0.9%

5
1.1%

Page 7

4 Sep 2015

47
55.3%

-
-

-
-

738
100.0%

85
100.0%

41
100.0%

352
100.0%

359
100.0%

1
*

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

81
100.0%

106
100.0%

54 271340 118 134 107152 203276
100%.0 100.0%100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%100.0% 100.0%100.0% 100.0%

-
-

1
*

1
*

-
-

*
*

-
-

*
*

-
-

1 15
7.8%

116
100.0%

-

6
1.9%

3
18.8%

-

-

-

6
36.2%

-

-

-

-

-

7
4.9%

20
5.7%

5
4.7%

3
0.7%

3 2
%2.9% -1.4

-
-

*
*

9
7.2%

Respect

SIGMA

English Democrats

35-54
321
309
109
35.2%

16
3.6%

8
0.9%

26
6.0%

5
1.1%

3
0.7%

2

5
0.7%

1

42
4.8%

-
19.3%

* 23
0.9%.6% 6

8
0.6%

-
1.4%

9
6.1%

9
2.6%

30 41108 6
14.5%14.6% 14.4%7.1%

9 2348 3
4.4% 8.1% 6.3%

2
50.32%

47

-
-

-
-

-

1

1
1.5%

5
359.4%

-

29
1.41%%

*

3

-
1.0%

-

42
-

7
12.2%

*

-

-

7
8.0%

-
-

6 2309
1.8%.9%91 14.2%

26
47.1%

3
4.6%

5
4.4%

1
1.6%

2
410.7% % 66.4

*
2.0.%6%

2
2.2%

1
1.8%

89
0 83.1%

29
6.5%

24
5.5%

43
9.8%

280
31.8%

153
35.1%

127
28.6%

118
13.4%

75
16.9%

Female
477
437
167
38.2%

899
880
332
37.7%

Male
422
443
165
37.2%

Gender

Total

53
6.0%

104
28.3%

5
1.4%

9
5.7%

55 9670 25013 17147
35.7% 46.5%24.6% 33.1%15.5% 41.5%41.0% 24.0%

44

88
28.5%

2 35
3.6% .5%5 9.9%

9
6.1%

8
2.2%

UKIP
74
62
12
11.1%

Other
119
107
1
1.0%

Did Not
Vote
72
83
13
23.4%

2015 Past Vote

29
26.4%

58
41.9%

27
19.2%

24
20.3%

5
3.3%

10
9.4%

4
3.6%

21
6.0%

31
26.0%

107
30.8%

7
4.8%

11
9.7%

38
10.8%

Page 8

4 Sep 2015

15
-

3
8.3%

84
30.7%

29
10.6%

21
7.8%

26
17.2%

443
100.0%

880
100.0%

19
5.5%

11
9.2%

8
5.6%

-
-

5
4.6%

437
100.0%

Page 8

Preparedby Survation on behalf of Mail on Sunday

Region6 + 1

Table 5
Q2. Normal weightings & likelihood to vote, with undecided and refused removed and replaced with 0.3 factor of 2015 vote
Q2. If there was a General Election taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from allpoliticalparties standinginyour constituency, whichpartydoyou thinkyou would vote for?
Base: Likelyto Vote

7.2%

47
5.3%

21
4.1%

11
5.8%

27
6.0%

20
4.7%

C2
342
347
37
30.9%

AB
68
54
123
44.9%

C1
297
275
140
40.5%

DE London Midlands
128 132 103
120 138 109
31 5459
22.3%49.9%38%.5

SEG

18-34
179
225
67
29.6%

Unweighted Total
Weighted Total
Conservative

-
-

1
*

1
*

1
*

Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition
(TUSC)
National Health Action (NHA)

*
*

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

3
2.3%

-
-

-
-

-
-

1
*

-
-

2
0.6%

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

*
*

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

3
-

-
-

-
-

1
0.7%

Issues Poll
Prepared on behalf of Mail on Sunday

-
- 1.0%

2
0.80.6%

*
*

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

%

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

3
3.3%

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

1
1.2%

-
-

4
4.6%

-
-

North SouthEngland ScotlandWales Remain Leave Udnecided
146 234294 77778 44371 365
154 207284 75385 42358 367
62 135311 1110 12813470
30.0% 47.6% 41.2%12.9% 24.5%35.7% 36.5%45.6%

UKIP

1
*

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

160
154

Plaid Cymru

Another Party (Net)

-
-

2
1.8%

-

3

4
-

-
*

Green

-
-

-
-

*
*

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

*
*

154

*
*

-
-

-
-

*
*

-
-

-
-

Liberal Democrat

Labour

19
6.1%

-
-

83
23.9%

-
-

96
31.1%

42
13.7%

58
16.7%

-
-

-
-

-

-

-

-

-

37
4.9%

-
-

14
5.0%

-

5
5.7%

-

10
4.6%

-
-

-
-

8
2.6%

13
4.2%

-
-

-
-

-
-

5
1.5%

55+ CON LAB LD UKIPOTHER UndecidedCON LABLD
399 311 26751 126 7965 310251
347 327 27450 116 9616 317250
157 327- - - -5 28310 12
45.2% 100.0%- - - -28.1% 89.4%.1%4 18.7%

*

35 1
36.0%

-
-

*
0.9%

8
8.2%

41 1
42.9%

-
-

-
-

5
7.4%

-
-

-

21
6.2%

274
100.0%

-
-

1
*

5
5.7%

-
-

1
*

1
*

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

4
2.0%

1
*

2
*

3
0.6%

1
1.0%

2
0.5%

*

-

26
*

5
314.8%

5
19.7%

-
-

19
5.3%

6
4.9%

7
4.9%

5
4.7%

6
4.2%

8
3.8%

11
3.9%

30
4.0%

274 50 116 9616 317250
100.0% 10.0100.0% 100.0%100.0% 100.0%% 100.0% 100.0%

-
-

-
-

-
-

1
0.6%

-
-

-
-

3
7.4%

-
-

-
-

275
100.0%

54
100.0%

120
100.0%

347
100.0%

62
100.0%

-
-

107 83
100.0% 100.0%

-
-

-
-

1
*

1
0.6%

-
-

-
-

-
-

42 358367
100.0% 100.0%

154
100.0%

207 284 75385
10.0100.0%% 100.0%100.0% 100.0%

138
100.0%

109
100.0%

7
2.7%

9
3.3%

24
10.8%

-
-

2
1.1%

Age

Voting Intention

8
5.3%

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
55.2%

101
45.0%

50
100.0%

22
6.5%

22
7.2%

-
-

-
-

13
5.6%

18
7.8%

-
-

-
-

Scottish National Party (SNP)

1
0.8%

1
*

47 *
48.9%

7
4.3%

EU Referendum

* 209
0.9% 5.5%.6%2

1
*

-
-

-
-

-
-

309
100.0%

347
100.0%

-
-

225
100.0%

327
100.0%

-
-

5
1.4%

-
-

-
-

19
8.3%

12
4.0%

14
3.2%

22
5.0%

36
4.1%

4
0.5%

EU Referendum

32 49127 107
13.34.%9%114.6%11.2%14.1%

24
14.6%

166
100.0%

North SouthEngland ScotlandWales Remain Leave Udnecided
158 264330 86785 52393 384
166 238330 86787 50392 387
204 278 73477 42341 353157
86.0%84.2%84.7%88.8%83.3%86.9%.291%79.7%

238 330 86787 50392 387
10.0% 100.0%100.0% 100.0%100.0% 100.0%100.0%

Region6 + 1

134
100.0%

175
100.0%

145
100.0%

382
100.0%

302
100.0%

144 3150 29
100.0% 10.4%13.0% 20.1%

6
2.6%

50
12.7%

33
8.6%

36
18.4%

22
16.1%

33
19.1%

DE London Midlands
144 159 115
145 175 134
137 111141
78.3% 83.3%84.9%

C1 C2
325 376
302 382
331 116
86.7% 9.97%

2
*

1
*

-
-

45
12.7%

-
-

1
*

Total

Gender

2
5.0%

30
11.2%

20
6.3%

22
6.1%

-
-

1
*

2
0.5%

5
2.6%

5
4.3%

-
-

-
-

-
-

4

197

Unweighted Total
Weighted Total
I voted in the 2015 General Election

2
1.9%

-
*

1
*

1

1 1
0.6% 0.7% 0.5%0.9%

2
0.7%

3
-

4
0.7%

7
0.7%

4
0.8%

Female
540
516
421
81.4%

55+ CON
429 311
361 320
337 300
93.5% 93.7%

35-54
366
354
308
86.8%

18-34
209
289
208
72.0%

I did not vote in the 2015 General Election

Voting Intention

67 106 83
100.0% 100.0%100.0%

Did Not
LAB LD UKIPOTHER UndecidedCON LABLD UKIPOther Vote
267 51 126 79114 310251 75 119 73
272 47 115 92107 313258 67 106 83
241 45 105 8367 313258 67 106 8-3
88.6% 95.0% 91.5%0.69% 62.6%100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
100.0%

AB
144
144
269
89.1%

144
100.0%

Male
464
488
432
88.7%

4 Sep 2015

Page 9

Age

Preparedby Survation on behalf of Mail on Sunday

Page 9

-
-

272 47 115 92107 313258
100.0% 10.0100.0% 100.0%% 100.0% 100.0%100.0% 100.0%

Table 6
Q3. Normal weightings
Q3. In the General Election on 7th May2015, 66% ofpeople voted, while 34% ofpeople did not vote. Thinkingback to this General Election, canyou remember whether or notyou voted in that specific election?
Base: All Respondents

-
-

-
-

1004
100.0%

488
100.0%

516
100.0%

-
-

289
100.0%

354
100.0%

361
100.0%

320
100.0%

-
-

35
3.13%

9
9.4%

10
8.5%

4
1.5%

144
14.3%

51
10.5%

92
17.9%

76
26.4%

SIGMA

1004
1004
853
85.0%

SEG

191
197

Issues Poll
Prepared on behalf of Mail on Sunday

-
-

-
-

2015 Past Vote

-
-

-
-

-
-

Can't remember

4 Sep 2015

2
0.7%

Page 10

15
4.5%

3
3.1%

-

5
4.7%

16
4.29.%6%

-
-

10
8.8%

3 2
%2.7% -1.2

1
*

-
-

7
5.1%

5
3.4%

10
6.8%

-

6
2.3%

-
37.-3

31
- %

-

-

-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-

-

8
9.5%

7
-

-

40
-

-

-

-

-

Unweighted Total
Weighted Total
Conservative

-

-

0.8%

84 56225 1419 130
41.230%.3% 30.6%18.8% 44.6%38.2% 24.4%

39
4.911.%5%

-

12
3.4%

8
2.2%

41

86
26.5%

15
9.5%

89
25.3%

9
5.5%

35 993
12.6%.5%13 4.5%

4
8.6%

32
15.7%

2
6.4%

7 16
5.4% 14.5%

25
7.7%

7
6.2%

90 86 25 57
33.5% 25.8% 21.6% 41.9%

Did Not
Other Vote
119-73
106-83
-
-

UKIP
75
67
-
-

LD
251
258
-
-

-

-

-
-

6
8.4%

84 1
79.6% 1.6%

Table 7
Q4. Normal weightings
Q4. Thinkingback to the General Election in May2015, canyou recall whichparty you voted for in that election?
Base: Voted in the May2015 General Election

6
5.3%

4 21
4.3% 31.9%

*

10
15.2%

-

-

*

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

40
52.2%

-

-

-

-

-

34
10.0%

80
23.7%

50
14.8%

26
8.5%

90
29.4%

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

27
10.1%

67
-
0%100.

-
-

LAB LD UKIPOTHER UndecidedCON LAB
235 48 116 7278 310
241 45 105 8367 313
6 614 714
3132.5% 13.4%13.2% 2%8.21.3%
100.0%

9
3.5%

5
2.0%

11
3.6%

9
3.1%

41
13.3%

217
90.1%

12
3.9%

CON
294
300
266
88.8%

55+
397
337
139
41.1%

35-54
314
308
106
34.4%

4 1427 605
2.6% 6.7%9.7% 8.2%

28
24.8%

Can't Remember

Other (Please state)

-
-

40 *
47.6%

-

0.6%

1
1.4%

-
-

-
-

19
5.6%

SIGMA

Refuse

1
*

-
-

-
-

2
1.

-
6-%

-
-

6
7.5%

-

-

6.6%

2

-
0.9%

3

8
0.7%

1
*

-
-

-
-

2
3.0%

6.3%

3
1.4%

10
5.5%

19
3.2%

1
*

-
-

1
*

-
-

-
-

19
6.3%

7
2.3%

AB C1 C2 DELondon MidlandsNorth SouthEngland ScotlandWales Remain Leave Udnecided
285 325 118 12597 135227 276 73574 44343 353155
269 331 116 137 111141 204278 73477 42341 353157
104 14039 30 4947 59138 29213 8116 13166
38.8%42.1%34.0%21.8%44.1%33.4%7%28.49.5%39.8%16.9%19.1%34.1%37.1%42.1%

1
0.9%

1.6%

-
-

-
-

*
1.1%

-

2
0.5%

3
1.0%

-
-

-
-

-
-

106
12.5%

1
0.5%

2
1.2%

-
-

67
7.9%

258
30.3%

38
8.9%

14
6.5%

69
15.9%

88
42.1%

15
7.4%

7
3.6%

3
4.7%

1
1.2%

-
-

-
-

2
0.9%

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-

-
-

1 224
1.1% 26.6%

2
5.0%

300
100.0%

3
1.4%

241 45 105 8367 313258
100.0% 10.0100.0% 100.0%% 100.0% 100.0%100.0% 100.0%

-
-

-
-

-
-

5
1.1%

8
0.9%

853
100.0%

432
100.0%

421
100.0%

208
100.0%

308
100.0%

337
100.0%

-
-

1
*

1
*

-
-

-
-

5
1.6%

3
1.3%

3
0.7%

21
-

8
6.1%

3
2.1%1.8%

-

1

30
4.2%

7 11
3.4% 3.8%

21
15.0%

11
10.0%

25
18.4%

21
18.5%

32
9.7%

28
10.3%

-
-

-
-

-
-

106
100.0%

258
100.0%

-

Voting Intention

1
3.3%

-
-

35
78.3%

-
-

*
1.6%

-
-

-
-

734 7742 341353157
01.00%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

-
*

5
0.9%

141
100.0%

111
100.0%

278
100.0%

204
100.0%

331
100.0%

269
100.0%

137
100.0%

116
100.0%

3
1.2%

67
100.0%

106
100.0%

8-3
-

-
-

1
*

1
2.7%

-
-

-
-

11
-

-
19.0%

EU Referendum

Scottish National Party (SNP)

Plaid Cymru

Green

Preparedby Survation on behalf of Mail on Sunday

Page 10

-
-

1
1.4%

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

1
1.0%

-
-

-
-

Region6 + 1

-
-

2015 Past Vote

SEG

57
40.2%

(A Northern Irish Party)

Age

1
*

-
-

11
3.5%

-
-

7
2.1%

-
48.2%

Liberal Democrat

Labour

Gender

Total

UKIP

Issues Poll
Prepared on behalf of Mail on Sunday

853
853
313
36.7%

Male
411
432
160
36.9%

Female
442
421
154
36.5%

18-34
142
208
69
33.1%

-

-
-

*
7% *

3
3.6%

-
-

-
-

2
2.1%

-
-

-
-

1
*

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

4
2.7%2.

9
2.8%

3
1.3%

-
-

-
-

-
0.7%

*

6
1.7%

-

-
-

-
-

-
-

-
-

2
0.7%

-
-

22
5.2%

31
3.6%

9
2.1%

40
4.7%

17
4.0%

23
5.4%

5
1.1%

8
0.9%

3
0.7%

6
1.8%

7
4.4%

4
1.2%

617
2.3%

1

1

-

2
2.7%

2.3%

6

-
-

-
-

-
-

7
10.0%

-
-

1

1
*

-
-

-
-

-
-

3
*

-
-

3
0.7%

140
33.3%

118
27.2%

40
9.3%

27
6.5%

-
-

3
*

-
-

7

2
0.9%

1
*

17
2.0%

1
*

-
-

8
2.3%

2
0.8%

7
3.3%

12
3.0%

5
1.1%