Logements neufs : les perspectives de demande s'améliorent en avril 2015

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En avril 2015, les promoteurs immobiliers sont beaucoup moins nombreux qu’en janvier à indiquer une baisse de la demande de logements neufs. Le solde d’opinion correspondant, qui avait atteint en octobre 2014 son plus bas niveau depuis que la série existe, s’est redressé depuis lors mais reste encore très en dessous de sa moyenne de long terme. De même, les perspectives de mises en chantier de logements pour les trois prochains mois sont moins dégradées qu’en 2014. Elles s’améliorent notamment nettement pour les logements destinés à la vente.

Informations

• Publié par: Fil_Immobilier
• Publié le: 27 avril 2015
• Nombre de lectures: 3
• Langue: Français

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Informations
27 avril 2015 - n° 98Rapides
 Quarterly business survey in real-estate development – April 2015
In April 2015, the expected demand for new dwellings improves
Real-estate development economic outlook The expected demand for new dwellings upturns
Balances of opinion, in %, SA In April 2015, sharply fewer developers than in January
July Oct. Jan. April
Mean* indicate a decrease in the demand for new housing. 14 14 15 15
New dwelling demand –9 –51 –54 –50 –34 The corresponding balance of opinion, which reached
Expected housing –7 –34 –33 –30 –17 in October 2014, its lowest level since the series exists,
starts
gets better but is still significantly below its long-term - for sale –16 –42 –44 –37 –21
- for rent 0 –15 –13 –16 –14 average. In the same way, expected housing starts for
Unsold dwelling stock –27 –10 –14 –15 –27
the next three months are less deteriorated than in tendency
2014. They have improved sharply in particular for new Housing average price 5 –31 –32 –31 –27
for sale dwelling for sale.
Downpayment –21 –46 –41 –35 –25
Financing capacity –23 –41 –39 –41 –20
Unsold dwelling stocks reduce * Mean since July 1991.
Source: French business survey on real-estate development -
Clearly more developers than in January indicate a fall of
INSEE
unsold dwelling stocks. The balance of opinion returns
to its long-term average. New dwelling demand tendency
Balances of opinion, in %, SA
60Prices remain tight
Even if fewer developers than in January indicate a fall 40
in average prices of new housing, the corresponding
20
balance of opinion is still significantly below its
longterm average. Fewer developers than in January 0
concider that downpayment to acquire a new dwelling
-20
has decreased. In the same way, fewer developers
-40than the previous quarter deem that the financing
capacity to purchase a new housing will fall off during
-60
the next quarter. 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15


For further information:
The balance of opinion is calculated as the difference between the percentage of responses «increase» and the percentage of responses
« decrease ».
- Additional information (long series, methodology, links, etc.) is available on the web page of this indicator:
http://www.insee.fr/en/themes/info-rapide.asp?id=57
- Historical data are available on the BDM: G1278, G1279, G1280.
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Next publication: 24/07/2015 at 12h00


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