The IPTS Futures Project Conference Proceedings. Futures Report Series 17

Joint Research Centre

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• Sciences et techniques

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• Publié par: JOINT-RESEARCH-CENTRE
• Nombre de lectures: 15
• Langue: English
• Poids de l'ouvrage: 11 Mo

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JOINT Ρ-ι
RESEARCH
Institute for
CENTRE
Prospective
EUROPEAN COMMISSION Technological Studies EUROPEAN COMMISSION
DIRECTORATE-GENERAL JRC
JOINT RESEARCH CENTRE
Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (Seville)
Futures Project
The IPTS
Futures Project Conference
Proceedings
Brussels - Palais des Congrès 10/11 February 2000
Series n° : 17
EUR 19627 EN
July 2000 THE IPTS FUTURES PROJECT: PUBLICATIONS LIST
The Futures Project: Jean Marie Cadiou (editor), The Futures Team
Synthesis Report
Demographic and Social Trends James Ρ Gavigan (Panel coordinator),Mathias Ottitsch,
Panel Report Celia Greaves
Information and Communication Ken Ducatel (Panel Coordinator), Jean-Claude
Burgelman, Jeremy Howells, Erik Bohlin, Technologies and the Information
Society Panel Report Mathias Ottisch
Thomas Münker (Panel Coordinator)Per Sørup, Dolores Life Sciences and the Frontier
of Life Panel Report Ibarreta, Karin Rosén, Anette Schmitt, Oliver Wolf
Natural Resources and Per Sørup and Tom Gameson (Panel coordinators),
the Environment Panel Report Ignacio Calleja, Hector Hernandez, Adeline Kroll,
Antonio Soria and Astrid Zwick
The Future of Education in Europe David Mercer
until 2010
Mosaic Living Prof. Richard Scase
Europe' s Changing Demography Prof. Géry Coomans
Technology Map Eamon Canili (Report Coordinator), Fabiana Scapolo
The Competitiveness map: Avenues K. Matthias Weber (Report Coordinator),
for Growth Mario Zappacosta, Fabiana Scapolo
EmploymentMap:jobs, skill and Ken Ducatel, Jean-Claude Burgelman
workinglifeontheroad to 2010
KnowledgeandLearning - Towards James Ρ Gavigan (Report coordinator),
a Learning Europe Mathias Ottitsch, Sami Mahroum
The wider picture:enlargement and Ken Ducatel, Werner Meske
cohesion in EuropeK. MatthiasWeber
The Societal Bill: Financing Social Gustavo Fahrenkrog (Report Co-ordinator),
Protection and a Sustainable Luis Delgado
Environment
All the above publications are downloadable from the following web address:
http://futures.jrc.es, or they can be ordered by mail from: JRC-IPTS
Documentation Service
World Trade Center
Isla de la Cartuja, s/n
41092 Seville (Spain) THE IPTS FUTURES PROJECT CONFERENCE
Theh Futures Project earned out under the direction of the Institute for Prospective and
Technological Studies identifies the major challenges facing Europe as we enter the new
decade: new information and communication technologies and biotechnologies,
environmental pressures, the implications of the Euro, all in the context of enlargement
and significant demographic changes. I believe that Europe is potentially strong enough to
meet these challenges. But we need to make sure we use this potential fully to our best
advantage.
Europe will only be able to succeed if it finds the way to mobilise fully the talents and
energies of its people. To help achieve this goal, I launched in January a new initiative to
help create a true European Research Area. This initiative is designed to break
down barriers in research and to work better together to develop the expertise
and creativity in research to its full dimension. This is a key condition to building a
Knowledge-based Society, engaging everyone in making the best of scientific and
technological progress. The Futures Project identifies policy options for Europe to reap the
full harvest of jobs and growth which these advances will make possible.
Philippe Busquin
European Commissioner for Research TABLE OF CONTENTS
INTR OD UC TION iii
AGENDA iv
OPENING SESSION
RESEARCH, TECHNOLOGY & EMPOLOYMENT 1
Chair: Commissioner Philippe Busquin
PLENARY SESSION 37
Chair: Dr. Jean Marie Cadiou
WORKSHOP 1
TECHNOLOGY MAP 43
Chair: Mr. Rolf Linkohr
EMPLOYMENT MAP 6
Chair: Ms. Miet Smet
COMPETITIVENESS MAP 81
Chair: Mr. John Travers
WORKSHOP 2
KNOWLEDGE & LEARNING 10
Chair: Prof. Alain Pompidou
ENLARGEMENT 119
Chair: Mrs. Dagmar Roth-Behrendt
FINANCING THE SOCIATAL BILL- 135
Chair: Prof. Jacques Lesourne PLENARY SESSION
RAPPORTEURS'REPORTS ON PARALLEL SESSIONS 149
Chair: Prof. Patrizio Bianchi
CLOSING ROUND TABLE
IPTS FUTURES CONFERENCE 169
Chair: Dr. Jean Marie Cadiou
SPEAKERS: CURRICULA VITAE 193 THE IPTS FUTURES PROJECT CONFERENCE
INTRODUCTION
The next ten years may well turn out to be the fastest changing years for Europe in its history
during peace-time. Information and Communication Technologies are developing at a ferocious
pace. Together with breakthroughs in Life Sciences, these technologies are transforming the way
we live and the way we work, while the single currency, the enlargement of the EU, demographic
changes, sustainability concerns and the wider context of globalisation are transforming our
economy. Each of these "trend breaks" is in itself a challenge. The fact that they will occur
simultaneously over the next ten years, and strongly interact with each other, is even more
challenging for most policy areas and in particular policies relating to technology, competitiveness
and employment.
The IPTS "Futures" Project was launched in mid-1998 exactly to examine the individual and
combined effects of these technological, economic, political and social drivers. Especially,
"Futures" set out to find out what they mean for technology, competitiveness and employment at
horizon 2010. During 1998 to 1999, "Futures" was the major activity of the Institute for Prospective
Technological Studies (one of the eight institutes of the European Commission's Joint Research
Centre). In the process IPTS brought together nearly 200 experts and policy makers, drawn from
industry, academia and government to take part in a series of brainstorming sessions, seminars
and workshops. A series of 11 reports was published. The result is a major benchmarking and
prospective analysis carried out at full European scale.
The aim of the IPTS "Futures" Conference was to discuss the major interrelated questions
analysed by the project and to derive the main messages for policy makers. It brought together
630 decision-makers and experts for an in-depth reflection on the way forward for Europe into the
new millennium.
The following proceedings provide a detailed account of the presentations and lively debates that
took place. We hope it provides a valuable record and reference point for future actions.
Ill THE IPTS FUTURES PROJECT CONFERENCE
AGENDA
Brussels, 10 ­ 11 February 2000
Opening Session Research, Technology and Employment: towards a
Knowledgeable Society"
♦ Chairman: Mr. Philippe Busquin, European Commissioner responsible for
Research
♦ Speakers: Prof. José Mariano Gago, Minister of Science and Technology of
Portugal and President in Office of the Research Council of the EU
o Prof. Alejo Vidal-Quadras Roca, Vice-President, European
o
Parliament
Mr. Umberto de Julio, Executive , Corporate Strategy
Development and Innovation, Telecom Italia
O
Mr. Alain Garcia, Senior Vice-president of Engineering Airbus
Industrie
Prof. Robert M. Solow, Professor of Economics at MIT, Nobel Prize rt
winner
CA Prof. Rudolf Zahradnik, President of the Academy of Sciences of the
u
Czech Republic
H Plenary Session The IPTS Futures Project
Dr. Jean-Marie Cadiou, Director of the Institute for Prospective
Technological Studies
1st set of parallel workshops:
Technology Map Dr. Eamon Canili, IPTS
♦ Chairman: Mr. Rolf Linkohr, MEP
♦ Speakers: Dr. Martin F. H. Schuurmans, Managing Director Philips Labs
Dr. Donald Fitzmaurice, National University of Ireland
Dr. Luk van Langenhove, (Rapporteur) Deputy Secretary General,
Belgian Federal Office of Science, Technology and Culture
Employment Map: Dr. Ken Ducatel, IPTS
♦ Chairman: Ms. Miet Smet, MEP
♦ Speakers: Prof. Faye Duchin, Rensselaer Polytechnic, NY
Prof. Luc Soete, University of Maastricht
Prof. Ian Miles, (Rapporteur) University of Manchester
IV