A Just Transition to a Low Carbon Future in South Africa

Description

Deliberations on the just transition in South Africa have intensified and will continue to do so for the next few years and decades. Climate change, widening socio-economic inequality, the precarious future of work and emergent approaches to financing arrangements have brought new urgency to the issues. It therefore remains critical to interrogate how South Africa can ensure a just transition to a low carbon economy.

This book underlines the fact that the low carbon transition in South Africa has to grapple with complex historical, social, economic, cultural and political factors. The main message is that the transition to a low-carbon society is possible, but it can only succeed if it is just and handled collaboratively. In addition, the book aims to broaden the discourse on low carbon transition and explore the opportunities in and impediments to making the transition fair, affordable and socio-economically viable.

SECTION 1: THE LANDING OF THE JUST TRANSITION IN SOUTH AFRICA

SECTION 2: SHIFT IN ECONOMIC PARADIGM

SECTION 3: TECHNOLOGY PATHWAYS FOR A JUST TRANSITION

SECTION 4: SOCIAL FACTORS OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE JUST TRANSITION

Sujets

• Environmental Policy
• Energy Policy
• Public Policy
• Sustainable Development
• Political Science
• Development

Informations

• Publié par: The Mapungubwe Institute for Strategic Reflection (MISTRA)
• Date de parution: 01 février 2022
• Nombre de lectures: 0
• EAN13: 9781920690359
• Langue: English
• Poids de l'ouvrage: 8 Mo

Extrait

reLects on the issue from a variety of perspectives. It underlines the

to subsume low-carbon efforts into the pursuit of large proîts, and climate diplomacy premised on selîsh geopolitical interests. They

IBS9N78--629108-239

A MISTRA Publication

A Just Transition to a Low Carbon Future in South Africa

Edited by Nqobile Xaba and Saliem Fakir

A Jûŝ Tàŝîîô ô à ô Càô Fûûé î Sôû Aîçà

E D ï T E D B Y Nôîé Xàà à Sàîé Fàî

Fîŝ ûîŝé  é Màûûé ïŝîûé ô Sàéîç RéLéçîô (MïSTRA) î 

4 Wéŝé Séîçé Rôà Wôôéà Jôàéŝû

Côî © MïSTRA, 

ïSBN 978--969--8

Pôûçîô à éŝî  Jàçàà Méîà, 

Côé éŝî: Hôôûŝé Séçîàîŝ Gàîç

Téx éîô: Té Sàîôŝ

Cô éîô: àà Jàçô

Pôôéàé: Méà Màçé

Déŝîé: Rà àô

ïéxé: -P Côé & Céàîô

Sé î Séé Gààô 7./

Please cite this publication as follows: MISTRA. 2022. Xaba, N. and Fakir, S. (eds)A Just Transition to a Low Carbon Future in South Africa. Johannesburg: Mapungubwe Institute for Strategic ReLection

A îŝ éŝéé. Wîôû îîî é îŝ ûé çôî éŝéé àôé, ô à ô îŝ ûîçàîô à é éôûçé, ŝôé î ô îôûçé îô à éîéà ŝŝé, ô àŝîé, î à ô ô  à éàŝ (ééçôîç, éçàîçà, ôôçôî, éçôî ô ôéîŝé), îôû îô îé éîŝŝîô ô é çôî ôé à/ô é ûîŝé.

Tîŝ ôô îŝ ŝô ŝûéç ô é çôîîô à î ŝà ô,  à ô àé ô ôéîŝé, é é, é-ŝô, îé ôû ô ôéîŝé çîçûàé îôû é ûîŝé’ŝ îô çôŝé î à ô ô îî ô çôé ôé à à î îç î îŝ ûîŝé à îôû à ŝîîà çôîîô éî îôŝé ô é ŝûŝéûé ûçàŝé.

Côéŝ

Péàçé . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . îîî Açôéééŝ. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xî Côîûôŝ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xîîî Açôŝ à àéîàîôŝ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xxîîî

Càé : ïôûçîô: A ûŝ àŝîîô àà ô Sôû Aîçà  –Nqobîle Xaba and Salîem Fakîr. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  S E C T ï Ô N  : T H E  A N D ï N G Ô F T H E J U S T T R A N S ï T ï Ô N ï N S Ô U T H A F R ï C A

Càé : Càé :

Fô çîàé çàé ô à ûŝ éé àŝîîô –Bukelwa Nzîmande and Happy Khambule. . . . . . Aî à ôàîé àéô ô àŝŝéŝŝ é ûŝ àŝîîô ô à é éô çàô ŝôçîé î Sôû Aîçà – Najma Mohamed and Gaylor Montmasson-Claîr 48

îîî

A Just Transîtîon to a Low Carbon Future în South Afrîca

Càé 4: Càé : Càé 6: Càé 7:

S E C T ï Ô N  : S H ï F T ï N E C Ô N Ô M ï C P A R A D ï G M

Sàî à é éçôôîç ô ôé ô Sôû Aîçà: Té ôé ô à é-ààé éé àŝîîô – Kenneth Creamer89. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Fô MEC ô é éô: Té ôé ô é éé ŝéçô î ûŝ àŝîîô – Jesse Burton, Lucy Baker, Andrew Marquard and Patrîck Lehmann-Grube7. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Géé îûŝîà ééôé ûé é Aîçà Côîéà Féé Tàé Aéà (ACFTA): Pôŝîîôî Sôû Aîçà’ŝ ééàé éé àûàçûî – Marîa Nkhonjera. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Sôû Aîçà’ŝ ŝôé ŝîàŝ ô Iàçî é ûŝ éé àŝîîô – Chantal Naîdoo8. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

S E C T ï Ô N  : T E C H N Ô  Ô G Y P A T H W AY S F Ô R A J U S T T R A N S ï T ï Ô N

Càé 8: Càé 9:

Sééî é Sôû Aîçà éé ŝéçô ôàŝ à ô çàô éçôô: Hôé éçôô à ûé çé éçôô

– Nqobîle Xaba and Zamanzîma Mazîbuko-Makena... Sàî é ô-çàô éé àŝôàîô ô ûŝ ûà àŝîîôŝ î Sôû Aîçà – Lauren Hermanus. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 

î

Contents

S E C T ï Ô N 4 : S Ô C ï A  F A C T Ô R S Ô F C  ï M A T E C H A N G E A N D T H E J U S T T R A N S ï T ï Ô N

Càé : Càé : Càé : Càé :

Càé 4:

Aŝŝéŝŝî ôîôŝ ô à éé àŝîîô à àéàîé àîçûûé î Mûààà – Malîk Dasoo and Stanley Semelane79. . . . . . . . . . . Déôçàîŝî à ûŝ àŝîîô î Sôû Aîçà – Lebogang Mulaîsî and Jacklyn Cock. . . . . . . . . .  Cîàé îéàîŝ, é éé éà à ŝàéîç çôéîîô: Té éôôîîçŝ ô éçàôîŝàîô – Salîem Fakîr, Faten Aggad and Ellen Davîs. . . . 6 Réîàîî Sîŝ Pàî ô à ô Càô à Sûŝàîàé Fûûé: Côçéûàîŝî Sîŝ Eçôŝŝéŝ – Presha Ramsarup and Najma Mohamed7. . . . . . .

Côçûŝîô: ïŝîŝ à éçôéàîôŝ ô ûîî à ûŝ ô çàô ûûé î Sôû Aîçà – Nqobîle Xaba and Salîem Fakîr8. . . . . . . . . . . . . .

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Péàçé

There is now global consensus à ûàî’ŝ îàç ô é éà’ŝ éçôŝŝé îŝ ŝîîIçà, à à çîàé çàé îŝ à éxîŝéîà çôŝéûéçé ô îŝ ô Lôà à àûà àîé. Gôà îŝçôûŝé ô îîàîô à àààîô àŝ éôé ààîŝ é àçô ô ôî ŝçîéîIç ôéé à à àé ô ŝôçîà à éôôîîçà çôéŝàîô. Wîé î àŝ ààŝ éé àçôéé à ôà àî î ôéŝŝîé àé à éàîé îàç ô à ûàî, îŝ îŝàŝôûŝ îàç ô é ôô îŝ ô éé àéçîàé. Yé, ééî ô ô î îŝ àé, é àŝîîô ô à ô-çàô ûûé çà îŝé ûé ôŝé é çôîîôŝ ô îé ô é é ŝàé ŝéçîôŝ ô ôà ŝôçîé à àé àîàîŝé. Sàéîéŝ à ôîçîéŝ ô é àŝîîô ô à ô-çàô ôîîçà éçôô àé ûŝ éôé ô éçîçîŝ, éçôôîçà îééîôŝ ô à ôàé, àŝîŝçîîà àôàç. ï îŝ î îŝ çôéx à é ôîô ô à ûŝ àŝîîô àŝ àîŝé. Fô îŝ ôîîŝ îî é àé ûîô ôéé ô ôéç ôéŝ’ îéîôôŝ, îŝ çôçé àŝ ôû éŝôàçé àô ôçéŝ àôçàî ô çôô û îééîàé éŝôŝîîî. Sôû Aîçà îŝ î é îŝ ô ŝûç éàé, àé é ôé ûé àŝô  é CÔVïD-9 àéîç. Tîŝ ôô, A Jûŝ Tàŝîîô ô à ô Càô Fûûé î Sôû Aîçà, éLéçŝ ô éŝé îŝŝûéŝ ô à àîé ô éŝéçîéŝ. ï ôçééŝ ô é éîŝé à Sôû Aîçà’ŝ éçôôîç ŝûçûé, ôîîçà éçôô à ôàé ŝôçîà éàîôŝ à çôé îô à î çàî é à ô à ô-çàô ŝôçîé. Aàîŝ é àçô ô Sôû Aîçà’ŝ îŝôîçà à éééç, é àûôŝ àûé à é çôû’ŝ àŝ éŝîéŝ î ôé à ûŝ

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A Just Transîtîon to a Low Carbon Future în South Afrîca

éûçî çàô éîŝŝîôŝ. Ràé, Sôû Aîçà ŝôû ûŝé îŝ ôôûî ô ûî à éé îéàŝ-éé çôéx. Exàçîô ô îéàŝ î çôîûé; à Sôû Aîçà àŝ éôéŝ à àé îôà ô éé éçôôîéŝ ŝûç àŝ Pàîû Gôû Méàŝ, ààéŝé, çôà à îçé. Uîé î é àŝ, é çôû ûŝ ôçéŝŝ à àé à ô éŝé éôéŝ îî é çôû ô ôéŝîç à ôà ûŝé. Té ééôé ô é ôé éçôô, ô îŝàçé, î éûîé ô ŝàéîéŝ à àçîçà àçîôŝ. ï ôé ô àçé éé îûŝîàîŝàîô à é çéé ô é çôû’ŝ àŝîîô, ôîç-àéŝ ŝôû àçîîàé ééà éçôôîç àçîîîéŝ àçôŝŝ Sôû Aîçà’ŝ îà, ŝéçôà à éîà àûé çàîŝ. Tîŝ îîéŝ à îûŝîà ŝàé à îçûéŝ éàŝé ô é ô Iŝ, àŝ é àŝ ôçûŝŝé ŝîŝ ééôé. Té àûôŝ çàûîô àôû é àé ô ôéû ôçéŝ ŝééî ô ŝûŝûé ô-çàô éôŝ ô é ûŝûî ô àé ôIŝ à çîàé îôàç éîŝé ô ŝéIŝ éôôîîçà îééŝŝ. ï îŝ îôà ô ôî éôé à ééôî çôûîéŝ ô éŝîŝ à ŝûç ééçîéŝ. A é ŝàé îé, à ŝôû éŝçé é àé ôîç à çûé çàô-îéŝîé ôŝ çà é éŝéé à é éxéŝé ô ûàî’ŝ ûûé. A ûŝ àŝîîô éûîéŝ ôà àéŝîŝ – î ôéé, îéŝôŝ, ôéŝ à çôûîîéŝ à à ô é éô. Té àûôŝ à àéîô ô é ŝàîà îéŝîô ô é ûŝ àŝîîô, îçûî ôçà ôéé – îé é ôé ô ûîçîàîîéŝ î é éé ŝŝé à é éûàîôŝ î îŝ éà – à çôééà çôîéà àçîôŝ î é çôéx ô é Aîçà Côîéà Féé Tàé Aéà. Pàçîçà ôôŝàŝ àé àé àŝô ô îééîôŝ éûîé ô ààé é éçàôîŝàîô ô ééçîçî ééàîô, àîçûà î é Mûààà ôîçé. Céà ô à éŝé îîîàîéŝ îŝ é éŝôŝîîî ô éŝûé à àŝîîô Iàçé îŝ àéûàé à àôîàé. Wîé é ôçûŝ ô çôà- ôî Eŝô à é éé ŝéçô îŝ ûéŝààé, ûŝ àŝîîô Iàçé ŝôû à ô é ôé ôéç ô éé îûŝîàîŝàîô; à î ŝôû îôé ôçà à îéàîôà çôéçîà à ééôé Iàçé îŝîûîôŝ. Cîîçà, é ŝôû ô é àôé ô ŝûŝîûé ô ôéçîé ààŝîŝ ô é ŝûçûé ô ûî, à ô é çôîîôàîîéŝ à çôŝŝ ààçé ô îŝ àîôûŝ çôôéŝ.

îîî

Preface

Tîŝ ôô ûéîéŝ é àç à é ô çàô àŝîîô î Sôû Aîçà àŝ ô àé î çôéx îŝôîçà, ŝôçîà, éçôôîç, çûûà à ôîîçà àçôŝ. Té àî éŝŝàé îŝ à é àŝîîô ô à ô-çàô ŝôçîé îŝ ôŝŝîé, û î çà ô ŝûççéé î î îŝ ûŝ à àé çôàôàîé. MïSTRA îŝéŝ ô à é àûôŝ, éîôŝ, éé éîééŝ à çôôîàôŝ éŝôŝîé ô îŝ ôûé. Ôû éééŝ àîûé ôéŝ ô ôŝé ô çôîûé ô é ïŝîûé’ŝ ŝûŝéàçé, îçûî é Déàé ô Sçîéçé à ïôàîô (DSï) ô îŝ ŝûô ô îŝ ôéç.

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Joel Netshîtenzhe Exéçûîé Dîéçô